ATP Almaty Best Bets Including Marozsan vs Medvedev

ATP 250 Almaty quarterfinals

Duckworth – Cobolli: 17.10.2025 08:00 CEST
H2H: 0-1

James Duckworth has won four of his last five matches. This week in Almaty, the Australian qualified for the main draw tournament. In the opening round, Duckworth defeated Blanchet in straight sets. He upset Diallo in the second round after playing for almost three hours.

Flavio Cobolli has lost three of his last five matches. Two weeks ago in Shanghai, Cobolli lost to Munar in the opening match. This week in Almaty, the Italian defeated Hijikata in the opening match in straight sets. He trailed 0-3 in the second set, but turned it around.

Best Bet to Make

According to the bookies, Cobolli is the slight favourite in this matchup, and we agree. He hopes to achieve a solid result this week, which would enable him to enter the top 20 in the rankings. Duckworth is a Challenger Tour-level player, and we expect Cobolli to dominate in this match.

That being said, Cobolli covering the games handicap is a value bet.

Value bet/ the best odds: Flavio Cobolli -2.5 games handicap @1.83 @bet365

Mochizuki – Michelsen: 17.10.2025 11:00 CEST
H2H: first meeting

Shintaro Mochizuki has won four of his last five matches. Last week in Jinan, Mochizuki lost to Cazaux in the semifinals of the Challenger tournament in straight sets. This week in Almaty, Mochizuki won the opening match against Cazaux in straight sets. He offered and saved two breakpoints. He easily defeated Darderi in the second round in straight sets.

Alex Michelsen has lost three of his last five matches. This week in Almaty, Michelsen won the opening match against Zhukayev in straight sets. The American demolished Vukic in the second round in straight sets. He offered no breakpoints.

Best Bet to Make

According to the bookies, Mochizuki is the underdog in this matchup, but we disagree. He dominated this week in Almaty. If he serves well, we expect him to keep this match close.

That being said, Mochizuki covering the games handicap is a value bet.

Value bet/ the best odds: Shintaro Mochizuki +2.5 games handicap @2.00 @bet365

Marozsan – Medvedev: 17.10.2025 09:30 CEST
H2H: 0-1

Fabian Marozsan has won three of his last five matches. This week in Almaty, Marozsan defeated Nardi in the opening round in straight sets. Besides losing his serve in the opening set, Marozsan dominated throughout the match. In the second round, the Hungarian defeated Nakashima in straight sets.

Daniil Medvedev has won four of his last five matches. Last week in Shanghai, Medvedev was stopped in the semifinals against Rinderknech, losing in three tight sets. It was a solid chance for him to win the Masters 1000 title, but he fumbled under pressure. This week in Almaty, Medvedev defeated Walton in the opening round in straight sets.

Best Bet to Make

According to the bookies, Marozsan is the underdog in this matchup, but we disagree. He won both matches this week in straight sets easily. On the other hand, Medvedev struggled against Walton in the opening round. We expect a tight match that could go either way.

That being said, Marozsan covering the games handicap is a value bet.

Value bet/ the best odds: Fabian Marozsan +3.5 games handicap @1.73 @bet365