
Shelton – Baez: 15.01.2026 01:00 CEST
H2H: 1-0
Ben Shelton has lost three of his last five matches. This week in Auckland, in his opening match of the season, Shelton defeated Comesana in straight sets. He offered and saved six breakpoints.
Sebastian Baez won five straight matches. The Argentine played his best tennis in the United Cup last week, winning all three singles matches. This week in Auckland, Baez defeated Nava in three tight sets, after losing the opening set 4-6. In the second round, the Argentine defeated Brooksby in straight sets.
According to the bookies, Shelton is the favourite in this matchup, and we agree. He has a better serve and a heavier forehand. We expect him to dominate under these conditions and win easily.
That being said, Shelton covering the games handicap is a value bet.
Value bet/ the best odds: Ben Shelton -3.5 games handicap @1.83 @bet365
Spizzirri – Marozsan: 15.01.2026 02:30 CEST
H2H: first meeting
Eliot Spizzirri has won four of his last five matches. This week in Auckland, Spizzirri qualified for the main draw tournament by winning both matches in straight sets. In the opening and second main draw rounds, the American defeated Mannarino and Borges in straight sets as well.
Fabian Marozsan has lost three of his last five matches. Last week in Hong Kong, Marozsan lost to Wu in the opening round in straight sets. This is his second appearance in Auckland. Marozsan outlasted Monfils in three tight sets this week in Auckland, after losing the opening set 5-7. In the second round, he upset Ruud in straight sets, offering and saving only one breakpoint.
According to the bookies, this will be a 50-50 matchup, but we disagree. Marozsan had a tougher draw than Spizzirri and still dominated. His experience will be crucial in this matchup, and we expect him to win easily.
That being said, Marozsan winning is a value bet.
Value bet/ the best odds: Fabian Marozsan winning @1.80 @bet365
Mpetshi Perricard – Mensik: 15.01.2026 06:30 CEST
H2H: 2-0
Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard has won four of his last five matches. Last week in Brisbane, the Frenchman lost to Kovacevic in the quarterfinals, three tight sets to two. This week in Auckland en route to the quarterfinals, Mpetshi Perricard defeated Bautista-Agut in straight sets and Norrie in the second round in three sets.
Jakub Mensik has won three of his last five matches. Last week in the United Cup, Mensik won the opening match against Ruud in straight sets. In the second and third matches, the Czech lost to de Minaur and Bergs in straight sets. This week in Auckland, Mensik defeated Medjedovic in the opening match, three sets to one. He was solid under pressure, saving eleven out of thirteen breakpoints.
According to the bookies, Mpetshi Perricard is the underdog in this matchup, but we disagree. He defeated Mensik last season in Brisbane in straight sets under almost exact conditions. We expect him to keep this match tight.
That being said, Mpetshi Perricard covering the games handicap is a value bet.
Value bet/ the best odds: Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard +1.5 games handicap @1.83 @bet365
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