ATP Australian Open Best Bets Including Alcaraz vs Hanfmann

ATP Australian Open 1/32-Finals

Opelka – Davidovich Fokina: 21.01.2026 02:30 CEST
H2H: 0-1

Reilly Opelka has won three of his last five matches. This week in Melbourne, the American defeated Budkov Kjaer in the opening round in straight sets. He offered and saved two breakpoints. Last season in Melbourne, Opelka lost to Machac in the second round in five tight sets.

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina has won three of his last five matches. Last week in Adelaide, the Spaniard lost to Humbert in the semifinals in three sets. This week in Melbourne, Davidovich Fokina demolished Misolic in straight sets. He offered and saved four breakpoints.

Best Bet to Make

According to the bookies, Opelka is the underdog in this matchup, but we disagree. He dominated in the opening match against Budkov Kjaer. We expect several tiebreaks and a tight match that could go either way.

That being said, Opelka covering the games handicap is a value bet.

Value bet/ the best odds: Reilly Opelka +3.5 games handicap @1.83 @bet365

Alcaraz – Hanfmann: 21.01.2026 04:00 CEST
H2H: 2-0

Carlos Alcaraz has won three of his last five matches. This week in Melbourne, Alcaraz defeated Walton in the opening round in straight sets. He has never made it past the quarterfinals here. Last season, Alcaraz was stopped by Djokovic in the quarterfinals, losing in four tight sets.

Yannick Hanfmann has lost three of his last five matches. This week in Melbourne, Hanfmann defeated Svajda in four tight sets. He has never made it past the second round here. Last season at the Australian Open, Hanfmann lost to Giron in the opening round.

Best Bet to Make

According to the bookies, Alcaraz is the clear favourite in this matchup, and we agree. Hanfmann has no weapons for the Spaniard’s game. We expect Alcaraz to dominate in this matchup and win easily.

That being said, Alcaraz covering the games handicap is a value bet.

Value bet/ the best odds: Carlos Alcaraz -9.5 games handicap @2.10 @bet365

Thompson – Borges: 21.01.2026 04:30 CEST
H2H: 0-3

Jordan Thompson has won four of his last five matches. This week in Melbourne, Thompson defeated J.M. Cerundolo in four sets, after losing the opening set 6-7. Last season at the Australian Open, the Australian lost to Borges in the second round in straight sets.

Nuno Borges has won three of his last five matches. Last week in Auckland, Borges lost to Spizzirri in the 1/8-Finals in straight sets. This week, Auger-Aliassime retired against Boges in the opening round after losing the third set. Last season in Melbourne, he lost to Alcaraz in the third round in four tight sets.

Best Bet to Make

According to the bookies, Borges is the favourite in this matchup, and we agree. He played his best tennis in the opening round against Auger-Aliassime. He leads 3-0 in head-to-head meetings against Thompson without dropping a set, including a win last year at the Australian Open in comfortable straight sets.

That being said, Borges covering the games handicap is a value bet.

Value bet/ the best odds: Nuno Borges -3.5 games handicap @1.83 @bet365