ATP Australian Open Best Bets Including Bublik – De Minaur

ATP Australian Open 1/8-Finals

Bublik – De Minaur: 25.01.2026 09:00 CEST
H2H: 2-3

Alexander Bublik has won four of his last five matches. This week, the Kazakh defeated Brooksby in the opening round in straight sets. In the second round, Bublik defeated Fucsovics in straight sets. He trailed 2-5 in the third set, but turned it around by winning five consecutive games. In the third round, Bublik defeated Etcheverry in straight sets. He offered and saved three breakpoints. Last season in Australia, the Kazakh lost to Cerundolo in the opening round in straight sets.

Alex de Minaur has won five straight matches. This week, the Australian defeated McDonald in straight sets easily. He offered and saved only one breakpoint. In the second round, de Minaur turned the match around against Medjedovic after losing the opening set 6-7. In the third round, the Australian defeated Tiafoe in straight sets easily. Besides losing his serve twice, de Minaur dominated throughout the match. Last season at the Australian Open, de Minaur lost to Sinner in the quarterfinals in straight sets.

Best Bet to Make

According to the bookies, Bublik is the underdog in this matchup, but we disagree. He is now a top-10 player and is fully focused on tennis, as he mentioned. With his talent and skill set, we expect him to climb even higher in the rankings. Bublik won the past two head-to-head meetings against de Minaur, both last season, so we expect him to be a better player tomorrow.

That being said, Bublik winning is a value bet.

Value bet/ the best odds: Alexander Bublik winning @2.38 @bet365

Medvedev – Tien: 25.01.2026 06:00 CEST
H2H: 1-2

Daniil Medvedev has won eight straight matches. This week in Melbourne, Medvedev defeated de Jong in straight sets in the opening round. In the second round, the Russian defeated Halys after losing the opening set 6-7. His toughest challenge happened in the third round against Marozsan. Medvedev came back after being 0-2 down. Last season at the Australian Open, Medvedev lost to Tien in the second round in a tight five-set match.

Learner Tien has won four of his last five matches. This week in Melbourne, Tien defeated Giron in five sets and Shevchenko in four sets en route to the third round. In the third round, Tien defeated Borges in straight sets. He trailed 3-5 in the opening set, but turned it around. Last season in Melbourne, the American lost to Sonego in the fourth round in four sets.

Best Bet to Make

According to the bookies, Tien is the underdog in this matchup, but we disagree. We saw that Medvedev is beatable in the third round. Tien leads 2-1 in head-to-head meetings and enjoys playing on fast courts. We expect him to keep this match tight.

That being said, Tien covering the games handicap is a value bet.

Value bet/ the best odds: Learner Tien +3.5 games handicap @1.91 @bet365