ATP Australian Open Best Bets Including Bublik vs Brooksby

ATP Australian Open 1/64-Finals

Zheng – Korda: 18.01.2026 05:30 CEST
H2H: first meeting

Michael Zheng has won four of his last five matches. This week in Melbourne, Zheng qualified for the main draw of the tournament. In the final qualifying round, he defeated Klein in three tight sets. The American saved one matchpoint in the deciding set tiebreak.

Sebastian Korda has lost three of his last five matches. Last week in Adelaide, Korda lost to Kokkinakis in three tight sets in the opening round. Last season at the Australian Open, Korda lost to Vukic in the second round in five tight sets.

Best Bet to Make

According to the bookies, Korda is the clear favourite in this matchup, and we agree. He is more experienced than Zheng, especially at the Grand Slam level, where experience is crucial. We expect Korda to dominate on his serve and win comfortably.

That being said, Korda covering the games handicap is a value bet.

Value bet/ the best odds: Sebastian Korda -4.5 games handicap @1.73 @bet365

Tiafoe – Kubler: 18.01.2026 07:00 CEST
H2H: 3-0

Frances Tiafoe has won three of his last five matches. So far this season, Tiafoe has played only in Brisbane, where he lost to Medvedev in the second round in straight sets. Last season in Melbourne, Tiafoe lost to Marozsan in the second round in five tight sets.

Jason Kubler has won four of his last five matches. This week in Melbourne, Kubler qualified for the main draw tournament. In the final qualifying round, Blockx retired in the deciding set against Kubler. Last season in Melbourne, the Australian lost in the opening qualifying round against Monteiro in straight sets.

Best Bet to Make

According to the bookies, Tiafoe is the favourite in this matchup, and we agree. Kubler spent most of his career playing at the Challenger Tour level. On the other hand, Tiafoe enjoys playing at the Grand Slam level. Tiafoe leads 3-0 in head-to-head meetings and has never lost a set against Kubler.

That being said, Tiafoe covering the games handicap is a value bet.

Value bet/ the best odds: Frances Tiafoe -4.5 games handicap 1.73 @bet365

Bublik – Brooksby: 18.01.2026 09:00 CEST
H2H: 0-1

Alexander Bublik has won four of his last five matches. Last week in Hong Kong, Bublik won the ATP title. He defeated Musetti in the final in straight sets. Last season in Australia, the Kazakh lost to Cerundolo in the opening round in straight sets.

Jenson Brooksby has lost three of his last five matches. Last week in Auckland, Brooksby lost to Baez in the 1/8-Finals in straight sets. Last season in Australia, the Brit lost against Fritz in the opening round in straight sets.

Best Bet to Make

According to the bookies, Brooksby is the heavy underdog in this matchup, but we disagree. The Brit has a good variety in his game. We expect him to fight hard and keep this match tight.

That being said, Brooksby covering the games handicap is a value bet.

Value bet/ the best odds: Jenson Brooksby +5.5 games handicap @1.83 @bet365