ATP Australian Open Best Bets Including Khachanov vs Michelsen

ATP Australian Open 1/64-Finals

Musetti – Collignon: 20.01.2026 01:30 CEST
H2H: first meeting

Lorenzo Musetti has won three of his last five matches. The last match he played was in Hong Kong, where he lost to Bublik in the final in straight sets. Last season at the Australian Open, the Italian lost to Shelton in the third round in four tight sets.

Raphael Collignon has won three of his last five matches. The last match he played was in Adelaide, where he failed to qualify for the main draw. This is his debut campaign in the main draw of the Australian Open.

Best Bet to Make

According to the bookies, Musetti is the clear favourite in this matchup, and we agree. He is one of the dark horses this week. On the other hand, Collignon never had any success or experience at the Grand Slam level. We expect Musetti to dominate and get a comfortable win.

That being said, Musetti covering the games handicap is a value bet.

Value bet/ the best odds: Lorenzo Musetti -5.5 games handicap @1.80 @bet365

Khachanov – Michelsen: 20.01.2026 02:30 CEST
H2H: 1-1

Karen Khachanov has won three of his last five matches. So far this season, Khachanov has played only in Hong Kong, where he lost to Mmoh in the opening match in straight sets. In 2023, the Russian reached the semifinals, losing to Tsitsipas in four tight sets. Last season, Khachanov lost to Michelsen in the third round in straight sets.

Alex Michelsen has won three of his last five matches. Last week in Auckland, Michelsen lost to Giron in the second round in straight sets. Last season at the Australian Open, the American lost to de Minaur in the 1/8-Finals in straight sets.

Best Bet to Make

According to the bookies, Michelsen is the slight underdog in this matchup, but we disagree. He demolished Khachanov in straight sets last season at the Australian Open. If he serves well, we expect him to be a better player.

That being said, Michelsen winning is a value bet.

Value bet/ the best odds: Alex Michelsen winning @2.30 @bet365

Mensik – Carreno-Busta: 20.01.2026 02:30 CEST
H2H: 2-0

Jakub Mensik has won four of his last five matches. Last week in Auckland, Mensik won the title, defeating Baez in straight sets. Last season in Melbourne, Mensik lost to Davidovich Fokina in the third round in five sets.

Pablo Carreno-Busta has lost three of his last five matches. The last match he played was in Auckland, where he failed to qualify for the main draw. He has never made it past the fourth round in Melbourne. Last season, the Spaniard lost to Shelton in the second round.

Best Bet to Make

According to the bookies, Mensik is the heavy favourite in this matchup, and we agree. He is coming into this matchup confident after winning the title under similar conditions. On the other hand, Carreno-Busta struggled this season. We expect Mensik to dominate with his serve and get a comfortable win.

That being said, Mensik covering the games handicap is a value bet.

Value bet/ the best odds: Jakub Mensik -5.5 games handicap @1.83 @bet365