ATP Australian Open Best Bets Including Paul vs Tirante

ATP Australian Open 1/32-Finals

Cerundolo – Dzumhur: 21.01.2026 01:00 CEST
H2H: 2-0

Francisco Cerundolo has won three of his last five matches. Last week in Adelaide, Cerundolo lost to Munar in the 1/8-Finals in three tight sets. This week in Melbourne, the Argentine defeated Zhang in the opening round in straight sets.

Damir Dzumhur has lost three of his last five matches. Last week in Adelaide, Dzumhur lost in the opening round against Shevchenko in three tight sets. This week in Melbourne, the Bosnian defeated Draxl in the opening round in straight sets.

Best Bet to Make

According to the bookies, Cerundolo is the clear favourite in this matchup, and we agree. Last season in Paris, Dzumhur defeated Cerundolo under similar conditions in straight sets. The Argentine dominated in the opening round against a solid hard-court player, so we expect him to win easily.

That being said, Cerundolo covering the games handicap is a value bet.

Value bet/ the best odds: Francisco Cerundolo -5.5 games handicap @1.80 @bet365

Majchrzak – Marozsan: 21.01.2026 01:00 CEST
H2H: first meeting

Kamil Majchrzak has won three of his last five matches. This week at the Australian Open, Majchrzak defeated Fearnley in four tight sets after playing for almost four hours. He trailed 0-3 in the fourth set, but turned it around. He has never made it past the second round here. Last season, the Pole lost against Carreno-Busta in the opening round.

Fabian Marozsan has won four of his last five matches. Last week in Auckland, Marozsan lost to Mensik in the semifinals in three tight sets. This week in Melbourne, the Hungarian defeated Rinderknech in four sets. He served extraordinarily well, offering no breakpoints throughout the match.

Best Bet to Make

According to the bookies, this will be an almost 50-50 matchup, but we disagree. Majchrzak struggled in the opening round against Fearnley, especially on his serve. On the other hand, Marozsan played well last week in Auckland and has not offered any breakpoints in the opening round here.

That being said, Marozsan winning is a value bet.

Value bet/ the best odds: Fabian Marozsan winning @1.62 @bet365

Paul – Tirante: 21.01.2026 01:00 CEST
H2H: first meeting

Tommy Paul has won three of his last five matches. Last week in Adelaide, Paul lost to Machac in the semifinals in three sets. This week in Melbourne, Paul defeated Kovacevic easily in straight sets. He served well, not offering any breakpoints.

Thiago Agustin Tirante has lost three of his last five matches. This week in Melbourne, Tirante defeated Vukic in the opening round in straight sets. The Argentine served 20 aces and has not offered any breakpoints.

Best Bet to Make

According to the bookies, Tirante is the heavy underdog in this matchup, but we disagree. He served well against Vukic, and if he repeats that level of serving, we expect him to keep this match tight.

That being said, Tirante covering the games handicap is a value bet.

Value bet/ the best odds: Thiago Agustin Tirante +7.5 games handicap @1.73 @bet365