ATP Australian Open Best Bets Including Ruud vs Bellucci

ATP Australian Open 1/64-Finals

Atmane – Maestrelli: 19.01.2026 06:00 CEST
H2H: first meeting

Terence Atmane has lost four of his last five matches. Last week in Adelaide, Atmane lost to Humbert in the opening round in straight sets. Last season at the Australian Open, the Frenchman lost to Klein in the qualifying tournament. He has never made it past the opening round here.

Francesco Maestrelli has won four of his last five matches. This week in Melbourne, the Italian qualified for the main draw tournament. In the final qualifying round, Maestrelli outlasted Lajovic in three tight sets, after losing the opening set 4-6.

Best Bet to Make

According to the bookies, Atmane is the slight favourite in this matchup, and we agree. He has more experience playing at the highest level than Maestrelli. The Italian spent his whole career playing on the Challenger Tour. On the other hand, Atmane had his breakthrough season last year, and we expect him to dominate in the opening round.

That being said, Atmane covering the games handicap is a value bet.

Value bet/ the best odds: Terence Atmane -4.5 games handicap @1.91 @bet365

Bellucci – Ruud: 19.01.2026 10:30 CEST
H2H: first meeting

Mattia Bellucci has lost four of his last five matches. Last week in Auckland, Bellucci failed to qualify for the main draw. Last season at the Australian Open, Bellucci lost to Atmane in the second qualifying round.

Casper Ruud has lost four of his last five matches. Last week in Auckland, Ruud lost to Marozsan in the opening match in straight sets. The Norwegian has never reached the fourth round at the Australian Open. Last season, Ruud lost to Mensik in the second round in four sets.

Best Bet to Make

According to the bookies, Ruud is the clear favourite in this matchup, and we agree. So far this season, Bellucci struggled in the opening matches. Ruud never succeeded in Australia. However, with his experience and skill set, we expect him to dominate this matchup.

That being said, Ruud covering the games handicap is a value bet.

Value bet/ the best odds: Casper Ruud -5.5 games handicap @1.80 @bet365

Berrettini – De Minaur: 19.01.2026 03:30 CEST
H2H: 3-3

Matteo Berrettini has won four of his last five matches. So far this season, Berrettini has not played any competitive matches. His most significant result in Melbourne happened in 2022, when he lost to Nadal in the semifinals. Last season, the Italian lost against Rune in the second round.

Alex de Minaur has won four of his last five matches. So far this season, de Minaur has played in the United Cup, where he defeated Mensik and Hurkacz and lost to Ruud. Last season at the Australian Open, de Minaur lost to Sinner in the quarterfinals in straight sets.

Best Bet to Make

According to the bookies, de Minaur is the clear favourite in this matchup, and we agree. De Minaur played well in the United Cup and is in better form than Berrettini. On the other hand, Berrettini struggled with injuries for the past few seasons. We expect de Minaur to win easily with the help of the crowd.

That being said, de Minaur covering the games handicap is a value bet.

Value bet/ the best odds: Alex de Minaur -5.5 games handicap @1.83 @bet365