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ATP Australian Open Best Bets Including Tsitsipas vs Mochizuki
Main photo credit: Danielle Parhizkaran-USA TODAY Sports

ATP Australian Open 1/64-Finals

Kopriva – Struff: 20.01.2026 06:00 CEST
H2H: 0-1

Vit Kopriva has won three of his last five matches. The last match he played was in Auckland, where he lost to Gaston in the qualifying round. He has never made it past the opening round in Melbourne. Last season, the Czech lost to Gojo in the second qualifying round.

Jan-Lennard Struff has won three of his last five matches. The last match he played was in Auckland, where he lost to Nava in the qualifying tournament. He has never made it past the second round at the Australian Open. Last season, the German lost to Auger-Aliassime in the opening round.

Best Bet to Make

According to the bookies, Struff is the favourite in this matchup, and we agree. Last season in Lyon under similar conditions, Struff demolished Kopriva in straight sets. He has more experience and firepower than Kopriva. We expect a one-sided match.

That being said, Struff covering the games handicap is a value bet.

Value bet/ the best odds: Jan-Lennard Struff -4.5 games handicap @1.83 @bet365

Royer – Fritz: 20.01.2026 07:00 CEST
H2H: first meeting

Valentin Royer has lost five straight matches. Last week in Auckland, the Frenchman lost to Comesana in the opening round in straight sets. This is his debut campaign at the Australian Open main draw. Last season, he lost to Monteiro in the second qualifying round.

Taylor Fritz has lost four of his last five matches. So far this season, Fritz has only played in the United Cup. Last season in Melbourne, Fritz lost to Monfils in four sets in the third round. He has never made it past the quarterfinals here.

Best Bet to Make

According to the bookies, Fritz is the heavy favourite in this matchup, and we agree. Royer is in terrible form and has no experience at the Grand Slam level. On the other hand, Fritz is a top 10 player and enjoys playing on fast courts. We expect him to dominate and win easily.

That being said, Fritz covering the games handicap is a value bet.

Value bet/ the best odds: Taylor Fritz -5.5 games handicap @1.67 @bet365

Mochizuki – Tsitsipas: 20.01.2026 10:30 CEST
H2H: 0-1

Shintaro Mochizuki has lost six straight matches. The last match he played was in Auckland, where he lost to Cerundolo in the qualifying tournament. Last season at the Australian Open, Mochizuki lost to Kachmazov in the qualifying tournament.

Stefanos Tsitsipas has won three of his last five matches. Last week in Adelaide, Tsitsipas lost to Vukic in the opening round in two tiebreaks. The Greek was the finalist here in 2023, losing to Djokovic in the final. Last season, Michelsen upset him in the opening round.

Best Bet to Make

According to the bookies, Tsitsipas is the clear favourite in this matchup, and we agree. Mochizuki is in terrible form and showed no signs of improvement in Auckland. We expect Tsitsipas to dominate on his forehand and serve, and win easily.

That being said, Tsitsipas covering the games handicap is a value bet.

Value bet/ the best odds: Stefanos Tsitsipas -6.5 games handicap @1.73 @bet365

This article first appeared on Last Word On Sports and was syndicated with permission.

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