ATP Basel Best Bets Including Wawrinka vs Kecmanovic

ATP 500 Basel 1/16-Finals

Mpetshi Perricard – Fonseca: 21.10.2025 15:30 CEST
H2H: first meeting

Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard has won three of his last five matches. Last week in Brussels, the Frenchman lost to Lehecka in the semifinals in two tiebreaks. He is the defending champion here in Basel. In his debut campaign, last season, Mpetshi Perricard defeated Shelton in the final in straight sets.

Joao Fonseca has won three of his last five matches. Last week in Brussels, Fonseca lost in the opening round against van de Zandschulp in straight sets. This will be his debut campaign in Basel.

Best Bet to Make

According to the bookies, this will be a 50-50 matchup, but we disagree. Mpetshi Perricard is the defending champion in Basel. He also had a solid run last week in Brussels. On the other hand, Fonseca has not had any remarkable results on indoor hard courts this season. We expect Mpetshi Perricard to be a better player today.

That being said, Mpetshi Perricard winning @1.80 @bet365

Giron – Shapovalov: 21.10.2025 16:30 CEST
H2H: 3-1

Marcos Giron has lost four of his last five matches. Last week in Brussels, Giron lost to Davidovich Fokina in the 1/8-Finals in three tight sets. This will be his second appearance in Basel. He lost in the opening round in his debut campaign against Humbert.

Denis Shapovalov has won three of his last five matches. Last week in Stockholm, Shapovalov lost to Ruud in the semifinals in straight sets. Last season in Basel, the Canadian lost to Mpetshi Perricard in the quarterfinals in three tight sets.

Best Bet to Make

According to the bookies, Giron is the slight underdog in this matchup, but we disagree. He enjoys playing on indoor hard courts. Earlier this season, the American defeated Shapovalov in straight sets. He leads 3-1 in head-to-head meetings, and we expect a close match that could go either way.

That being said, Giron covering the games handicap is a value bet.

Value bet/ the best odds: Marcos Giron +1.5 games handicap @1.83 @bet365

Kecmanovic – Wawrinka: 21.10.2025 19:30 CEST
H2H: 0-1

Miomir Kecmanovic has lost three of his last five matches. Last week in Stockholm, Kecmanovic lost to Etcheverry in the 1/8-Finals in three tight sets. This will be his fourth appearance in Basel. He has never made it past the second round here.

Stanislas Wawrinka has won three of his last five matches. The last match he played was around three weeks ago in Shanghai, where he lost to Marozsan in three sets in the opening round. He has been granted a wild card this week in Basel. Wawrinka has played 32 times in Basel already. Last season, he lost to Shelton in the second round in straight sets.

Best Bet to Make

According to the bookies, Kecmanovic is the slight favourite in this matchup, and we agree. Wawrinka has not had any remarkable results this season. He is 40 years old and far away from his prime. We expect Kecmanovic to win easily.

That being said, Kecmanovic winning is a value bet.

Value bet/ the best odds: Miomir Kecmanovic winning @1.53 @bet365