ATP Basel Best Bets Including Wawrinka vs Ruud

ATP 500 Basel 1/8-Finals

Opelka – Van de Zandschulp: 23.10.2025 16:30 CEST
H2H: 1-1

Reilly Opelka has won three of his last five matches. Last week in Brussels, Opelka lost to Bonzi in the opening round in straight sets. This week in Basel, the American qualified for the main draw tournament. In the opening main draw round, Opelka defeated Baez in straight sets. He offered no breakpoints.

Botic van de Zandschulp has won three of his last five matches. Last week in Brussels, the Dutchman lost to Spizzirri in the second round in straight sets. This week in Basel, van de Zandschulp failed to qualify for the main draw tournament. However, with several players withdrawing from the tournament, he entered the main draw as a lucky loser. In the opening main draw round, he upset Lehecka in straight sets.

Best Bet to Make

According to the bookies, this will be a 50-50 matchup, but we disagree. Opelka dominated in the qualifying round against van de Zandschulp. He enjoys playing on indoor hard courts. If he serves well, we expect him to win.

That being said, Opelka winning is a value bet.

Value bet/ the best odds: Reilly Opelka winning @2.00 @bet365

Ruud – Wawrinka: 23.10.2025 18:00 CEST
H2H: 0-1

Casper Ruud has won five straight matches. Last week in Stockholm, Ruud defeated Humbert in the final in straight sets. This is his fifth appearance in Basel. In the opening round, Ruud defeated Halys in straight sets. Last season in Basel, Ruud lost to Bautista-Agut in the opening round in three tight sets.

Stanislas Wawrinka has won three of his last five matches. He has been granted a wild card this week in Basel. Wawrinka has played 32 times in Basel already.  This week, Wawrinka defeated Kecmanovic in the opening round in straight sets. Last season, he lost to Shelton in the second round in straight sets.

Best Bet to Make

According to the bookies, Wawrinka is the heavy underdog in this matchup, but we disagree. He enjoys playing at home in Basel. He dominated against Kecmanovic in the opening match. We expect him to keep this match close.

That being said, Wawrinka covering the games handicap is a value bet.

Value bet/ the best odds: Stanislas Wawrinka +3.5 games handicap @2.10 @bet365

Fritz – Humbert: 23.10.2025 19:30 CEST
H2H: 2-0

Taylor Fritz has won three of his last five matches. Last week in Saudi Arabia, Fritz played in an exhibition tournament, where he won third place. This is his fifth appearance in Basel. In the opening round, Fritz defeated Vacherot in three tight sets.

Ugo Humbert has won four of his last five matches. Last week in Stockholm, the Frenchman lost to Ruud in the final in straight sets. This week in Basel, he defeated Korda in the opening match in straight sets. Last season in Basel, Humbert lost to Goffin in the second round in three sets.

Best Bet to Make

According to the bookies, Humbert is the underdog in this matchup, but we disagree. He is one of the most consistent indoor hard-court players. He played his best tennis the past two weeks. We expect him to keep this match close.

That being said, Humbert covering the games handicap is a value bet.

Value bet/ the best odds: Ugo Humbert +2.5 games handicap @1.80 @bet365