ATP Beijing Best Bets Including Medvedev vs Norrie

ATP 500 Beijing 1/16-Finals

Medvedev – Norrie: 26.09.2025 07:30 CEST
H2H: 4-1

Daniil Medvedev has lost four of his last five matches. Last week in Hangzhou, Medvedev lost to Wu in the quarterfinals in three tight sets. This will be his third appearance in Beijing. Last season, Medvedev lost to Alcaraz in the semifinals. A year before, he finished as a runner-up.

Cameron Norrie has won three of his last five matches. Last week in Chengdu, Norrie lost in the opening round of the main draw to Zhou in three tight sets. This will be his fourth appearance in Beijing. He has never made it past the second round.

Best Bet to Make

According to the bookies, Medvedev is the favourite in this matchup, and we agree. He always performed well in Beijing. He leads 3-0 in head-to-head meetings against Norrie on hard courts. We expect a similar outcome in Beijing.

That being said, Medvedev covering the games handicap is a value bet.

Value bet/ the best odds: Daniil Medvedev -3.5 games handicap @1.80 @bet365

Moutet – Griekspoor: 26.09.2025 07:00 CEST
H2H: 0-3

Corentin Moutet has won four of his last five matches. Last week in Hangzhou, Moutet had a decent run. Royer eventually stopped him in the semifinals. He never qualified for the main draw of the tournament.

Tallon Griekspoor has lost six straight matches. His last win was over two months ago in Bastad on clay. Last week in Chengdu, the Dutchman lost to Daniel in the opening match. He needs to start winning if he wants to stay in the top 50. Last season in Beijing, Griekspoor lost to Alcaraz in the second round in straight sets.

Best Bet to Make

According to the bookies, this will be an almost 50-50 matchup, but we disagree. Even though Griekspoor is in bad form, he is still a better hard-court player than Moutet. He leads 3-0 in head-to-head meetings. Griekspoor won twice on hard courts without dropping a set against Moutet.

That being said, Griekspoor winning is a value bet.

Value bet/ the best odds: Tallon Griekspoor winning @2.10 @bet365

Mpetshi Perricard – Musetti: 26.09.2025 10:30 CEST
H2H: 0-3

Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard has lost three of his last five matches. Last week in Chengdu, the Frenchman lost against Shevchenko in three tight sets. This will be his second appearance in Beijing. Last season, Mpetshi Perricard lost to Alcaraz in the opening round in straight sets.

Lorenzo Musetti has won three of his last five matches. Last week in Chengdu, Musetti finished as a runner-up. Tabilo upset him in the final in three tight sets. He has never made it past the second round. Last season, Musetti lost to Yunchaokete in the second round in straight sets.

Best Bet to Make

According to the bookies, Musetti is the favourite in this matchup, but we disagree. He just lost a tight final and will be emotionally exhausted. On the other hand, Mpetshi Perricard has a heavy serve and enjoys playing on fast hard courts. We expect a tight match that could go either way.

That being said, Mpetshi Perricard covering the games handicap is a value bet.

Value bet/ the best odds: Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard +2.5 games handicap @2.00 @bet365