Muller – Khachanov: 25.09.2025 05:00 CEST
H2H: 0-1
Alexandre Muller has lost four of his last five matches. The last match he played was at the US Open, where he lost against Tsitsipas in four sets. So far this season, the Frenchman has only played three hard-court matches and lost all three.
Karen Khachanov has won three of his last five matches. The last match he played was at the US Open, where Majchrzak upset him in the second round in five tight sets. This will be his sixth appearance in Beijing. Last season, the Russian lost against Alcaraz in the quarterfinals in straight sets.
According to the bookies, Khachanov is the favourite in this matchup, and we agree. He enjoys playing on fast, hard courts. Khachanov usually delivers his best tennis in the second part of the season. On the other hand, Muller lost all three hard-court matches this season. We expect Khachanov to win easily.
That being said, Khachanov covering the games handicap is a value bet.
Value bet/ the best odds: Karen Khachanov -3.5 games handicap @1.73 @bet365
Bonzi – Marozsan: 25.09.2025 07:00 CEST
H2H: 0-1
Benjamin Bonzi has won three of his last five matches. The last match he played was at the US Open, where he lost to Rinderknech in the third round. He hopes for a solid result this week to cement his top 50 status.
Fabian Marozsan has lost four of his last five matches. The last match he played was in the Davis Cup, where he lost his singles match against Rodionov in three tight sets. This will be his debut campaign in Beijing. The Hungarian has not had any remarkable results on hard courts this season.
According to the bookies, Marozsan is the slight favourite in this matchup, and we agree. He would have been a bigger favourite if he had not been in bad form. Two months ago, under similar conditions in Washington, Marozsan defeated Bonzi in straight sets. We expect a similar outcome tomorrow.
That being said, Marozsan winning is a value bet.
Value bet/ the best odds: Fabian Marozsan winning @1.62 @bet365
Sinner – Cilic: 25.09.2025 13:00 CEST
H2H: 1-0
Jannik Sinner has won four of his last five matches. The last match he played was at the US Open, where he lost to Alcaraz in the final in four tight sets. Since then, the Italian has taken time off to rest and prepare for the Asian swing.
Marin Cilic has lost five straight matches. Last week in Hangzhou, Cilic lost to Basavareddy in the opening round in three tight sets. He hopes for a solid result this week to secure top 100 status.
According to the bookies, Sinner is the big favourite in this matchup, and we partially agree. However, Cilic enjoys playing in Asia. He has a heavy serve, and if he serves well, we expect him to keep this match tighter than what the bookies think. In their only head-to-head meeting, Sinner defeated Cilic in three tight sets.
That being said, Cilic covering the games handicap is a value bet.
Value bet/ the best odds: Marin Cilic +6.5 games handicap @1.83 @bet365
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