ATP Beijing Best Bets Including Zverev vs Moutet

ATP 500 Beijing 1/8-Finals

Mannarino – Musetti: 28.09.2025 07:00 CEST
H2H: 1-1

Adrian Mannarino has won three of his last five matches. Last week in Hangzhou, Mannarino lost in the opening round against Wu in three tight sets. He has never made it past the second round in Beijing. This week, Mannarino qualified for the main draw tournament by winning both matches in straight sets. In the opening main draw round, the Frenchman defeated Bublik in straight sets. He played well under pressure, saving all three breakpoints. Last season, Mannarino lost in the second round in straight sets.

Lorenzo Musetti has won four of his last five matches. Last week in Chengdu, Musetti finished as a runner-up. Tabilo upset him in the final in three tight sets. This week, the Italian defeated Mpetshi Perricard in the opening round in three tight sets. In the deciding set, Musetti served well and has not offered any breakpoints. He has never made it past the second round in Beijing. Last season, Musetti lost to Yunchaokete in the second round in straight sets.

Best Bet to Make

According to the bookies, Musetti is the slight favourite in this matchup, but we disagree. Last week, Musetti fumbled under pressure in the final in Chengdu. He made many unforced errors against Mpetshi Perricard in the opening round in Beijing. On the other hand, Mannarino has already won three matches in Beijing and dominated in every one of them. We expect him to keep this match tight.

That being said, Mannarino covering the games handicap is a value bet.

Value bet/ the best odds: Adrian Mannarino +2.5 games handicap @2.00 @bet365

Moutet – Zverev: 28.09.2025 13:00 CEST
H2H: 0-2

Corentin Moutet has won four of his last five matches. Last week in Hangzhou, Moutet had a decent run. Royer eventually stopped him in the semifinals. He never qualified for the main draw of the tournament in Beijing. This week, the Frenchman won the opening round against Griekspoor in straight sets. He was great under pressure, saving all seven breakpoints. Moutet has had a solid season so far, and if he continues to play this way, we expect him to enter the top 30 in the rankings.

Alexander Zverev has lost three of his last five matches. Last week in the Laver Cup, Zverev lost both singles matches in straight sets. This is his seventh appearance in Beijing. Zverev won the opening match against Sonego in straight sets this week in Beijing. The German lost his serve only once; other than that, Zverev dominated throughout the match. He was a semifinalist here three times. Last season, Zverev lost to Medvedev in the semifinals in straight sets.

Best Bet to Make

According to the bookies, Zverev is the favourite in this matchup, and we agree. Moutet is a solid all-around player, but he has no big weapons. Zverev has all the weapons to dominate in this match and get an easy win. Zverev leads 2-0 in head-to-head meetings, and we expect him to get a third win over Moutet.

That being said, Zverev covering the games handicap is a value bet.

Value bet/ the best odds: Alexander Zverev -4.5 games handicap @2.00 @bet365