ATP Beijing Best Bets Including Zverev vs Sonego

ATP 500 Beijing 1/16-Finals

Shang – Cazaux: 26.09.2025 05:30 CEST
H2H: 1-0

Juncheng Shang has lost four of his last five matches. Last week in Chengdu, Shang lost to Nakashima in the second round in straight sets. He has been granted a wild card this week in Beijing. He has never made it past the opening round.

Arthur Cazaux has won three of his last five matches. Last week in Hangzhou, Cazaux lost against Moutet in the second round in three tight sets. This week in Beijing, the Frenchman qualified for the main draw. In the final qualifying round, Halys retired mid-match against Cazaux.

Best Bet to Make

According to the bookies, Cazaux is the slight favourite in this matchup, and we agree. Shang has never made it past the opening round in Beijing. He played in around a dozen matches this season due to injuries. We expect the Frenchman to be a better player tomorrow.

That being said, Cazaux winning is a value bet.

Value bet/ the best odds: Arthur Cazaux winning @1.67 @bet365

Sonego – Zverev: 26.09.2025 13:30 CEST
H2H: 0-5

Lorenzo Sonego has lost three of his last five matches. Last week in Chengdu, Sonego lost to Giron in the second round. This will be his third appearance in Beijing. He has never made it past the opening round. Last season in Beijing, Sonego lost to Mannarino in the opening round.

Alexander Zverev has lost three of his last five matches. Last week in the Laver Cup, Zverev lost both singles matches in straight sets. This will be his seventh appearance in Beijing. He was a semifinalist here three times. Last season, Zverev lost to Medvedev in the semifinals in straight sets.

Best Bet to Make

According to the bookies, Zverev is the favourite in this matchup, and we agree. He leads 5-0 in head-to-head meetings and enjoys playing on hard courts. Sonego has struggled with his form on hard courts for the past few months. We expect Zverev to dominate and win easily.

That being said, Zverev covering the games handicap is a value bet.

Value bet/ the best odds: Alexander Zverev -3.5 games handicap @1.73 @bet365

Tien – Cerundolo: 26.09.2025 05:30 CEST
H2H: first meeting

Learner Tien has lost three of his last five matches. Last week in Hangzhou, Tien lost to Royer in the quarterfinals in three tight sets. This will be his debut campaign in Beijing. He hopes for a solid result this week to return to the top 50.

Francisco Cerundolo has won three of his last five matches. Last week, Cerundolo played in the Laver Cup. He won the opening match against Rune and lost shortly after against Alcaraz. Last season in Beijing, Cerundolo lost to Khachanov in the second round in straight sets.

Best Bet to Make

According to the bookies, this will be a 50-50 matchup, but we disagree. Cerundolo played well in the Laver Cup under similar conditions. On the other hand, Tien struggled against Royer in Hangzhou. Cerundolo has more experience, and we expect him to be a better player tomorrow.

That being said, Cerundolo winning is a value bet.

Value bet/ the best odds: Francisco Cerundolo winning @2.00 @bet365