ATP Cincinnati Best Bets Including Shelton vs Ugo Carabelli

ATP Masters 1000 Cincinnati 1/32-Finals

Khachanov – Royer: 10.08.2025 21:30 CEST
H2H: first meeting

Karen Khachanov has won four of his last five matches. Last week in Toronto, the Russian had a great run, reaching the final. He eventually lost to Shelton in three tight sets.

Valentin Royer has won three of his last five matches. Last week in Toronto, Royer lost to Arseneault in the opening round in straight sets. This week in Cincinnati, the Frenchman qualified for the main draw of the tournament. In the opening main draw round, Royer defeated Ofner in three sets, after losing the opening set 5-7.

Best Bet to Make

According to the bookies, Khachanov is the favourite in this matchup, and we agree. He is in great form and now looks to get into the top 10. Royer had his biggest results at the Challenger Tour level. We expect Khachanov’s form and experience to prevail in this match.

That being said, Khachanov covering the games handicap is a value bet.

Value bet/ the best odds: Karen Khachanov +3.5 games handicap @1.73 @bet365

Shelton – Ugo Carabelli: 11.08.2025 01:00 CEST
H2H: first meeting

Ben Shelton has won six straight matches. Last week in Toronto, Shelton won the Masters 1000 title. He defeated Khachanov in the final in three tight sets.

Camilo Ugo Carabelli has won three of his last five matches. Last week in Toronto, the Argentine retired mid-match against Carballes Baena in the opening round due to a right arm injury. The Argentine had never succeeded on hard courts before. This week in Cincinnati, he defeated Nishikori in straight sets.

Best Bet to Make

According to the bookies, Shelton is the big favourite in this matchup, and we agree. He just won the Masters 1000 title and now looks to keep winning in Cincinnati as well. He has a favourable draw against the Argentine. Ugo Carabelli has no weapons to match the Americans’ game. We expect Shelton to dominate and win easily.

That being said, Shelton covering the games handicap is a value bet.

Value bet/ the best odds: Ben Shelton -4.5 games handicap @1.57 @bet365

Basavareddy – Zverev: 11.08.2025 02:30 CEST
H2H: first meeting

Nishesh Basavareddy has won three of his last five matches. Last week in Lexington, Basavareddy reached the quarterfinals of the Challenger tournament. He eventually lost to Svajda in three tight sets. This week in Cincinnati, the American defeated Vukic in straight sets in the opening round.

Alexander Zverev has won four of his last five matches. Last week in Toronto, Zverev lost to Khachanov in the semifinals in three tight sets.

Best Bet to Make

According to the bookies, Zverev is the big favourite in this matchup, but we disagree. Basavareddy has a strong serve. If he serves well, we expect him to keep this match close. Zverev had a rough semifinal match against Khachanov. We believe that the American will keep this match tight with the help of the crowd.

That being said, Basavareddy covering the games handicap is a value bet.

Value bet/ the best odds: Nishesh Basavareddy +4.5 games handicap @2.00 @bet365