ATP Cincinnati Best Bets Including Zverev vs Nakashima

ATP Masters 1000 Cincinnati 1/16-Finals

Mensik – Nardi: 12.08.2025 18:30 CEST
H2H: 1-0

Jakub Mensik has won three of his last five matches. This week in Cincinnati, Mensik defeated Quinn in his opening match. He served great, not offering any breakpoints. He hopes for a solid result this week to get closer to the top 10 in the rankings.

Luca Nardi has won three of his last five matches. This week in Cincinnati, Nardi failed to qualify for the main draw tournament. However, with several players withdrawing from the tournament, the Italian entered the main draw as a lucky loser. In the second main draw round, he upset Shapovalov in three tight sets, after losing the opening set 6-7.

Best Bet to Make

According to the bookies, Mensik is the favourite in this matchup, and we agree. He is a better hard-court player than Nardi. Last season in Miami under similar conditions, Mensik demolished Nardi in straight sets, and we expect a similar outcome tonight.

That being said, Mensik covering the games handicap is a value bet.

Value bet/ the best odds: Jakub Mensik -3.5 games handicap @1.73 @bet365

Nakashima – Zverev: 13.08.2025 01:00 CEST
H2H: 0-4

Brandon Nakashima has won three of his last five matches. Last week in Toronto, Nakashima lost to Shelton in the third round in three tight sets. This week in Cincinnati, the American won the opening match against Blockx in three tight sets. After losing the opening set 4-6, he stepped up his level and turned the match around.

Alexander Zverev has won four of his last five matches. Last week in Toronto, Zverev lost to Khachanov in the semifinals in three tight sets. This week in Cincinnati, he defeated Basavareddy in the opening round in straight sets. He served great, not offering any breakpoints.

Best Bet to Make

According to the bookies, Zverev is the favourite in this matchup, and we agree. He is in solid form and leads 4-0 in head-to-head meetings against Nakashima. He has all the weapons to dominate tonight.

That being said, Zverev covering the games handicap is a value bet.

Value bet/ the best odds: Alexander Zverev -3.5 games handicap @2.00 @bet365

Shelton – Bautista-Agut: 13.08.2025 02:30 CEST
H2H: 2-0

Ben Shelton has won seven straight matches. Last week in Toronto, Shelton won the Masters 1000 title. He defeated Khachanov in the final in three tight sets. This week in Cincinnati, Ugo Carabelli retired mid-match in the opening match against Shelton.

Roberto Bautista-Agut has won three of his last five matches. This week in Cincinnati, the Spaniard won both matches in straight sets. Last season in Cincinnati, the Spaniard failed to qualify for the main draw of the tournament.

Best Bet to Make

According to the bookies, Shelton is the big favourite in this matchup, and we agree. He is in great form and is one of the best players in the world. He defeated the Spaniard in both head-to-head meetings in straight sets. We expect him to do so tonight as well.

That being said, Shelton covering the games handicap is a value bet.

Value bet/ the best odds: Ben Shelton -3.5 games handicap @1.62 @bet365