ATP Doha Final Prediction: Carlos Alcaraz vs Arthur Fils

The ATP Doha final brings together two of the most exciting young talents in men’s tennis as Carlos Alcaraz takes on Arthur Fils for the Qatar ExxonMobil Open title. Both players have shown real quality throughout the week, blending power, speed, and composure under pressure. With Alcaraz chasing another strong hard-court result and Fils looking to claim a breakthrough title on this surface, this matchup promises intensity, big shots, and plenty of momentum swings. As always we bring you our analysis and prediction for this match, who will cap their run with the title? 

ATP Doha Final Prediction

Carlos Alcaraz vs Arthur Fils

Head-to-Head: Alcaraz leads 2–0 Fils 

This is the first time these two young stars meet on hard courts, and it’s a fascinating clash in the Qatar ExxonMobil Open final. Alcaraz comes in riding a flawless wave this year—he’s 11-0 in 2026 so far, including his Australian Open title and a tough but gritty run through Doha. He battled past Karen Khachanov in three sets in the quarterfinal, showing his trademark resilience, then dug deep to convert six match points against defending champion Andrey Rublev in the semis. His hard-court game looks sharp right now, with strong movement, explosive power, and the ability to turn defense into attack in long rallies.

Fils has been impressive too, especially considering he returned from a lengthy back injury last year. He’s built momentum in Doha with solid wins, including a straight-sets victory over Jakub Mensik in the semifinal who offset the world no. 2 Jannik Sinner in the quarterfinals, and he’s shown good form on hard courts early this season. The Frenchman brings big serving, aggressive baseline play, and plenty of confidence from upsetting higher-ranked players in the past. At 21, he’s hungry and capable of pushing anyone when his shots are landing.

On this surface, Alcaraz’s experience in big moments and his versatility give him an edge; he mixes variety, covers the court so well, and rarely lets pressure get to him. Fils can make it competitive with his power and speed, and if he serves lights out, he could steal a set or force tiebreaks. But Alcaraz’s consistency in grinding points and finishing strong should see him through.

Prediction: Alcaraz in 3