ATP Indian Wells Day 4 Predictions Including Carlos Alcaraz vs Grigor Dimitrov

The first Masters 1000 of the 2026 season is underway at ATP Indian Wells 2026 edition. Day four promises plenty of entertaining action with a number of star names in action and as always, we here at LWOT will be offering our predictions for every match including Taylor Fritz vs Jacob Fearnley and Jack Draper vs Roberto Bautista Agut. But who will advance?

ATP Indian Wells Day 4 Predictions

Mackenzie McDonald vs Cameron Norrie

Head-to-head: McDonald 1-0 Norrie

Mackenzie McDonald arrived at ATP Indian Wells searching for his first tour-level win of the season with the American having been unable to build any real momentum in 2026. But wins over Vitaliy Sachko and Trevor Svajda, both in straight sets, took him into the main draw and he demolished an out-of-sorts Matteo Arnaldi for the loss of only one game in the first round.

But 27th seed Cameron Norrie has an excellent record at ATP Indian Wells and on the slow courts in California, Norrie should have enough time to use his consistency and movement to outmaneuver the American. Norrie’s grinding style suits these conditions well. Expect him to tough it out and come through in three sets.

Prediction: Norrie in 3

Benjamin Bonzi vs Francisco Cerundolo

Head-to-head: first meeting

Benjamin Bonzi picked up a good win in his first main-draw match, but he now faces a tougher challenge. It will be interesting to see how Francisco Cerundolo adapts to hard courts after a successful South American clay swing. Cerundolo’s groundstrokes remain highly consistent and penetrating from the baseline, with his forehand a wearpon of note. Expect the Argentine to settle quickly enough to have the better of the Frenchman.

Prediction: Cerundolo in 2

Sebastian Baez vs Jiri Lehecka

Head-to-head: Baez 2-0 Lehecka

Sebastian Baez has shown he can compete on hard courts, highlighted by a runner-up finish in Auckland earlier this season. He faces Jiri Lehecka, who has yet to find his best form this year and has lost both of their previous meetings. The slower courts at Indian Wells should suit Baez’s grinding baseline style against an occasionally erratic Lehecka. The Czechs is a player of real promise, but if Baez can hold serve consistently, he has a good chance to come through.

Prediction: Baez in 3

Carlos Alcaraz vs Grigor Dimitrov

Head-to-head: Alcaraz 4-2 Dimitrov

On his way back after a bad injury, Grigor Dimitrov hasn’t been helped by the draw, running into a red-hot Carlos Alcaraz. The Spaniard is unbeaten so far this year and has historically enjoyed playing at Indian Wells. Dimitrov is capable of producing high-level tennis here, but Alcaraz’s pace, athleticism, and consistency make him extremely difficult to beat – particularly in slower conditions. If Dimitrov cab red-line his game he might be able to steal a set, but Alcaraz should still come through.

Prediction: Alcaraz in 3