ATP Nitto Finals Best Bets Including Sinner vs Shelton

ATP Nitto Finals Turin Group B

Sinner – Shelton: 14.11.2025 14:00 CEST
H2H: 7-1

Jannik Sinner has won fifteen straight matches. The Italian is in brilliant form. His last loss was over a month ago in Shanghai, when he retired mid-match against Griekspoor. Since then, Sinner won the exhibition tournament in Saudi Arabia, the ATP 500 in Vienna and the Masters 1000 in Paris. This week in Turin, Sinner won against Auger-Aliassime in the opening group match. He offered no breakpoints and dominated throughout the match. In the second group match, the Italian outlasted Zverev in straight sets. Sinner is the defending champion in Turin. Last season, the Italian defeated Fritz in the final in straight sets.

Ben Shelton has lost three of his last five matches. Two weeks ago in Paris, Shelton lost to Sinner in the quarterfinals in straight sets. This week in Turin, the American lost his opening group match against Zverev in straight sets. Zverev served too well, not offering any breakpoints. On the other hand, Shelton lost his serve twice. In the second set tiebreak, Shelton was 4-0 and 6-3 up, but fumbled under pressure. In the second group match, he lost to Auger-Aliassime in three tight sets after playing for almost 3 hours, having won the opening set 6-4. This is his debut campaign in the ATP Nitto finals.

Best Bet to Make

According to the bookies, Sinner is the favourite in this matchup, and we agree. He dominated this week in Turin and enjoys playing in front of the home crowd. He dominated against Shelton in the quarterfinals two weeks ago in Paris. We expect a similar outcome tomorrow.

That being said, Sinner covering the games handicap is a value bet.

Value bet/ the best odds: Jannik Sinner -4.5 games handicap @1.83 @bet365

Zverev – Auger-Aliassime: 14.11.2025 20:30 CEST
H2H: 8-4

Alexander Zverev has won three of his last five matches. This week in Turin, the German won his opening group match against Shelton in straight sets. He served well, not offering any breakpoints. Zverev trailed 3-6 in the second set tiebreak, but turned it around. In the second group match, he lost to Sinner in straight sets. Last season in Turin, Zverev lost to Fritz in the semifinals in three tight sets. He was the champion here twice.

Felix Auger-Aliassime has won three of his last five matches. Two weeks ago in Paris, Auger-Aliassime had a great run, reaching the final. Sinner eventually defeated him in straight sets. This week in Turin, the Canadian once again faced Sinner in the opening group match. The Italian served well, offering no breakpoints, and eventually won in straight sets. In the opening set, Auger-Aliassime played well and kept it close. However, Sinner dominated in the second set. In the second group match, the Canadian upset Shelton in three tight sets, after losing the opening set 4-6.

Best Bet to Make

According to the bookies, Auger-Aliassime is the slight underdog in this matchup, but we disagree. He had a great match against Shelton. This season at the US Open, the Canadian defeated Zverev in four tight sets. We expect him to serve well and keep this match tight.

That being said, Auger-Aliassime covering the games handicap is a value bet.

Value bet/ the best odds: Felix Auger-Aliassime +2.5 games handicap @1.80 @bet365