ATP Nitto Finals Best Bets Including Sinner vs Zverev

ATP Nitto Finals Turin Group B

Shelton – Auger-Aliassime: 12.11.2025 14:00 CEST
H2H: 0-1

Ben Shelton has lost three of his last five matches. Two weeks ago in Paris, Shelton lost to Sinner in the quarterfinals in straight sets. This week in Turin, the American lost his opening group match against Zverev in straight sets. Zverev served too well, not offering any breakpoints. On the other hand, Shelton lost his serve twice. In the second set tiebreak, Shelton was 4-0 and 6-3 up, but fumbled under pressure. This is his debut campaign in the ATP Nitto finals.

Felix Auger-Aliassime has won three of his last five matches. Two weeks ago in Paris, Auger-Aliassime had a great run, reaching the final. Sinner eventually defeated him in straight sets. This week in Turin, the Canadian once again faced Sinner in the opening group match. The Italian served well, offering no breakpoints, and eventually won in straight sets. In the opening set, Auger-Aliassime played well and kept it close. However, Sinner dominated in the second set.

Best Bet to Make

According to the bookies, this will be an almost 50-50 matchup, but we disagree. Auger-Aliassime is in great form and just had bad luck to face Sinner in back-to-back matches. If he serves well, we expect him to be a better player in this matchup, considering his current form.

That being said, Auger-Aliassime winning is a value bet.

Value bet/ the best odds: Felix Auger-Aliassime winning @2.63 @bet365

Sinner – Zverev: 12.11.2025 20:30 CEST
H2H: 5-4

Jannik Sinner has won fourteen straight matches. The Italian is in brilliant form. His last loss was over a month ago in Shanghai, when he retired mid-match against Griekspoor. Since then, Sinner won the exhibition tournament in Saudi Arabia, the ATP 500 in Vienna and the Masters 1000 in Paris. Two weeks ago in Paris, Sinner defeated Auger-Aliassime in the final in straight sets. This week in Turin, Sinner once again won against the Canadian in the opening group match. He offered no breakpoints and dominated throughout the match. Sinner is the defending champion in Turin. Last season, the Italian defeated Fritz in the final in straight sets.

Alexander Zverev has won four of his last five matches. Two weeks ago in Paris, Zverev had a solid run. He was eventually stopped by Sinner in the semifinals, losing 0-6, 1-6 within an hour. This week in Turin, the German won his opening group match against Shelton in straight sets. He served well, not offering any breakpoints. Zverev trailed 3-6 in the second set tiebreak, but turned it around. Last season in Turin, Zverev lost to Fritz in the semifinals in three tight sets. He was the champion here twice.

Best Bet to Make

According to the bookies, Sinner is the favourite in this matchup, and we agree. He dominated against Zverev last week in Paris, losing only one game in the whole match. Sinner has won the past four meetings against Zverev, and we expect him to continue that winning streak tomorrow as well.

That being said, Sinner covering the games handicap is a value bet.

Value bet/ the best odds: Jannik Sinner -4.5 games handicap @1.67 @bet365