
Diallo – De Minaur: Time TBA
H2H: 0-1
Gabriel Diallo has lost three of his last five matches. Last week in Basel, the Canadian lost to Auger-Aliassime in the opening round in straight sets. This week in Paris, Diallo defeated Griekspoor in the opening match in straight sets. He offered and saved two breakpoints.
Alex de Minaur has won three of his last five matches. Last week in Vienna, de Minaur lost to Sinner in the semifinals in straight sets. This will be his eighth appearance in Paris. Last season, de Minaur lost to Rune in the quarterfinals in three tight sets.
According to the bookies, de Minaur is the favourite in this matchup, and we agree. The Australian had a solid run in Vienna last week. He defeated Diallo in Toronto two years ago in straight sets. We expect a similar outcome tomorrow.
That being said, de Minaur winning in straight sets is a value bet.
Value bet/ the best odds: Alex de Minaur winning 2-0 @1.80 @bet365
Dimitrov – Medvedev: Time TBA
H2H: 3-8
Grigor Dimitrov has won four of his last five matches. This is his first tournament since Wimbledon. This week in Paris, Dimitrov defeated Mpetshi Perricard in the opening match in straight sets. He served well, offering and saving three breakpoints.
Daniil Medvedev has won four of his last five matches. Last week in Vienna, Medvedev lost to Moutet in the second round in straight sets. This week in Paris, the Russian won against Munar in the opening round in straight sets. He offered no breakpoints and dominated from the start until the end.
According to the bookies, Medvedev is the favourite in this matchup, and we agree. He was unplayable today against Munar. He has already defeated Dimitrov seven times on hard courts. We expect him to be a better player tomorrow and win easily.
That being said, Medvedev covering the games handicap is a value bet.
Value bet/ the best odds: Daniil Medvedev -2.5 games handicap @1.73 @bet365
Khachanov – Fonseca: Time TBA
H2H: first meeting
Karen Khachanov has lost four of his last five matches. Last week in Vienna, Khachanov lost to Griekspoor in the opening round in three tight sets. This week in Paris, Khachanov demolished Quinn in the opening round in straight sets. He offered no breakpoints.
Joao Fonseca has won six straight matches. Last week in Basel, the Brazilian defeated Davidovich Fokina in the final in straight sets. This week in Paris, Fonseca beat Shapovalov in the opening match in three tight sets, after losing the first set 5-7.
According to the bookies, this will be a 50-50 matchup, but we disagree. Fonseca looked exhausted on the court against Shapovalov. He was overwhelmed after winning the title in Basel. On the other hand, Khachanov was unplayable against Quinn. We expect him to be more rested and win.
That being said, Khachanov winning is a value bet.
Value bet/ the best odds: Karen Khachanov winning @1.80 @bet365
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