ATP Paris Best Bets Including Zverev vs Davidovich Fokina

ATP Masters 1000 Paris 1/8-Finals

Shelton – Rublev: 30.10.2025 14:30 CEST
H2H: 1-0

Ben Shelton has lost three of his last five matches. This week in Paris, Shelton defeated Cobolli in his opening match in straight sets. He served well throughout the match, saving and offering only one breakpoint.

Andrey Rublev has lost three of his last five matches. This week in Paris, Rublev won the opening match against Fearnley in straight sets. Besides losing his serve once, the Russian dominated on his serve. He defeated Tien in the second round in straight sets. Rublev was great under pressure, saving eight out of nine breakpoints.

Best Bet to Make

According to the bookies, this will be a 50-50 matchup, but we disagree. Shelton is a better indoor hard-court player than Rublev. Last season in Basel under similar conditions, Shelton won in three tight sets. We expect a similar outcome tomorrow.

That being said, Shelton winning is a value bet.

Value bet/ the best odds: Ben Shelton winning @1.73 @bet365

Sonego – Medvedev: 30.10.2025 17:30 CEST
H2H: 0-3

Lorenzo Sonego has won three of his last five matches. Last week in Basel, Sonego lost to Davidovich Fokina in the opening match in straight sets. This week in Paris, Sonego defeated Korda in the opening match in straight sets. In the second round, the Italian defeated Musetti in three tight sets.

Daniil Medvedev has won four of his last five matches. Last week in Vienna, Medvedev lost to Moutet in the second round in straight sets. This week in Paris, the Russian won against Munar in the opening round in straight sets. He offered no breakpoints and dominated from the start until the end. Dimitrov withdrew from the second round match against Medvedev.

Best Bet to Make

According to the bookies, Medvedev is the favourite in this matchup, and we agree. He is a better indoor hard-court player than Sonego, leading 3-0 in head-to-head meetings. The Russian had more than enough time to rest and prepare for this match. We expect him to dominate.

That being said, Medvedev covering the games handicap is a value bet.

Value bet/ the best odds: Daniil Medvedev -3.5 games handicap @1.80 @bet365

Davidovich Fokina – Zverev: 30.10.2025 20:30 CEST
H2H: 1-5

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina has won four of his last five matches. This week in Paris, the Spaniard defeated Royer and Cazaux en route to the 1/8-Finals.

Alexander Zverev has won four of his last five matches. Last week in Vienna, Zverev had a great run. Sinner eventually stopped him in the final. He is the defending champion this week in Paris. In the opening round, Zverev outlasted Ugo Carabelli in three tight sets. Last season in Paris, the German defeated Humbert in the final in straight sets.

Best Bet to Make

According to the bookies, Zverev is the slight favourite in this matchup, and we agree. He had a great run last week in Vienna and leads 5-1 in head-to-head meetings against the Spaniard. We expect him to be a better player tomorrow.

That being said, Zverev covering the games handicap is a value bet.

Value bet/ the best odds: Alexander Zverev -2.5 games handicap @1.80 @bet365