ATP Paris Best Bets Including Zverev vs Ugo Carabelli

ATP Masters 1000 Paris 1/16-Finals

Moutet – Bublik: Time TBA
H2H: 0-3

Corentin Moutet has won three of his last five matches. Last week in Vienna, Musetti defeated Moutet in the quarterfinals in straight sets. This week in Paris, the Frenchman defeated Opelka in the opening round in three tight sets, after losing the opening set 3-6.

Alexander Bublik has won three of his last five matches. Last week in Vienna, Bublik lost to Sinner in the quarterfinals in straight sets. This week in Paris, Bublik won the opening match against Popyrin in straight sets. Besides losing his serve once, the Kazakh served well throughout the match.

Best Bet to Make

According to the bookies, Bublik is the slight favourite in this matchup, and we agree. He leads 3-0 in head-to-head meetings against Moutet. Bublik has all the weapons to dominate against Moutet on indoor hard courts. We expect him to get a comfortable win.

That being said, Bublik winning is a value bet.

Value bet/ the best odds: Alexander Bublik winning @1.57 @bet365

Musetti – Sonego: Time TBA
H2H: 1-1

Lorenzo Musetti has won three of his last five matches. Last week in Vienna, Musetti lost to Zverev in the semifinals in straight sets. This will be his fifth appearance in Paris. Last season in Paris, the Italian lost to Struff in the opening round in straight sets.

Lorenzo Sonego has won three of his last five matches. Last week in Basel, Sonego lost to Davidovich Fokina in the opening match in straight sets. This week in Paris, Sonego defeated Korda in the opening match in straight sets.

Best Bet to Make

According to the bookies, Musetti is the favourite in this matchup, and we agree. Last season in Vienna under almost the same conditions, Musetti demolished Sonego in straight sets. He is a better indoor hard-court player than Sonego, and we expect him to dominate.

That being said, Musetti covering the games handicap is a value bet.

Value bet/ the best odds: Lorenzo Musetti -3.5 games handicap @1.91 @bet365

Ugo Carabelli – Zverev: Time TBA
H2H: 0-1

Camilo Ugo Carabelli has lost three of his last five matches. Last week in Vienna, the Argentine lost to Misolic in the opening round in straight sets. This week in Paris, Ugo Carabelli won the opening match against Etcheverry in straight sets. He trailed 0-2 in the second set, but turned it around.

Alexander Zverev has won four of his last five matches. Last week in Vienna, Zverev had a great run. Sinner eventually stopped him in the final. He is the defending champion this week in Paris. Last season in Paris, the German defeated Humbert in the final in straight sets.

Best Bet to Make

According to the bookies, Zverev is the heavy favourite in this matchup, and we agree. Ugo Carabelli is a clay-court specialist who rarely succeeds on indoor hard courts. On the other hand, Zverev enjoys playing in Paris. We expect him to dominate from the start until the end.

That being said, Zverev covering the games handicap is a value bet.

Value bet/ the best odds: Alexander Zverev -5.5 games handicap @1.73 @bet365