ATP Rotterdam Best Bets Including De Minaur vs Fils

ATP 500 Rotterdam 1/16-Finals

Bergs – Marozsan: 10.02.2026 21:00 CEST
H2H: 0-2

Zizou Bergs has won three of his last five matches. The last match he played was at the Australian Open, where he lost to Hurkacz in the opening round in four sets. He has never made it past the opening round here.

Fabian Marozsan has lost three of his last five matches. Last week in the Davis Cup, Marozsan lost to Quinn in three tight sets. This is his third appearance in Rotterdam. Last season, the Hungarian lost to Rublev in the second round in straight sets.

Best Bet to Make

According to the bookies, this will be a 50-50 matchup, but we disagree. Marozsan leads 2-0 in head-to-head meetings against Bergs. Last season, Marozsan won both meetings in straight sets. He played very well at the Australian Open, and we expect him to continue in that fashion.

That being said, Marozsan winning is a value bet.

Value bet/ the best odds: Fabian Marozsan winning @1.91 @bet365

De Minaur – Fils: 10.02.2026 19:30 CEST
H2H: 1-1

Alex de Minaur has won four of his last five matches. The last match he played was at the Australian Open, where he lost to Alcaraz in the quarterfinals in straight sets. De Minaur finished as a runner-up in Rotterdam in the past two editions. Last season, the Australian lost to Alcaraz in the final in three tight sets.

Arthur Fils has won three of his last five matches. Last week in Montpellier, Fils lost to Auger-Aliassime in the quarterfinals in straight sets. That was also his first tournament since the ATP Toronto last season in August. Last season in Rotterdam, Fils lost to Altmaier in the second round, three tight sets to two.

Best Bet to Make

According to the bookies, de Minaur is the favourite in this matchup, and we agree. Fils still needs time to come to his best level. On the other hand, de Minaur enjoys playing in Rotterdam and has reached the quarterfinals at the Australian Open. We expect de Minaur to dominate and win easily.

That being said, de Minaur covering the games handicap is a value bet.

Value bet/ the best odds: Alex de Minaur -3.5 games handicap @1.83 @bet365

Hurkacz – Bublik: Time TBA
H2H: 6-1

Hubert Hurkacz has won three of his last five matches. Last week in Montpellier, Hurkacz lost to Damm in the opening round in straight sets. Last season in Rotterdam, the Pole lost to Alcaraz in the semifinals in three tight sets.

Alexander Bublik has won three of his last five matches. Last week in the Davis Cup, Bublik defeated Nys and lost to Vacherot in straight sets. Last season in Rotterdam, Bublik lost to Mensik in the opening round in straight sets.

Best Bet to Make

According to the bookies, this will be a 50-50 matchup, but we disagree. Hurkacz had more time to prepare for the upcoming tournament than Bublik did. He leads 6-1 in head-to-head meetings, winning the past five head-to-head meetings on hard courts. We expect Hurkacz to be a better player.

That being said, Hurkacz winning is a value bet.

Value bet/ the best odds: Hubert Hurkacz winning @2.00 @bet365