ATP Shanghai Best Bets Including Djokovic vs Cilic

ATP Masters 1000 Shanghai 1/32-Finals

Bergs – Ruud: 03.10.2025 11:00 CEST
H2H: 1-0

Zizou Bergs has lost three of his last five matches. Last week in Tokyo, Bergs lost to Alcaraz in the 1/8-Finals in straight sets. This week in Shanghai, he upset Korda in the opening round in straight sets. Last season in Shanghai, Bergs lost to Dimitrov in the second round in a tight three-set match.

Casper Ruud has won four of his last five matches. Last week in Tokyo, Ruud had a decent run. Alcaraz eventually stopped him in the semifinals.

Best Bet to Make

According to the bookies, Bergs is the underdog in this matchup, but we disagree. He is a solid hard-court player and enjoys playing on fast courts. Bergs dominated in the opening round against Korda. We expect a tight match that could go either way.

That being said, Bergs covering the games handicap is a value bet.

Value bet/ the best odds: Zizou Bergs +3.5 games handicap @1.83 @bet365

Cilic – Djokovic: 03.10.2025 12:30 CEST
H2H: 2-19

Marin Cilic has lost four of his last five matches. Last week in Beijing, Cilic lost to Sinner in the opening round in straight sets. He was the semifinalist here in 2017. In the opening main draw round, Cilic defeated Basilashvili in straight sets. Last season, Cilic lost against Cazaux in the opening round in straight sets.

Novak Djokovic has won four of his last five matches. The last match he played was at the US Open, where he lost to Alcaraz in the semifinals in straight sets. Since then, the Serb has taken some time off.

Best Bet to Make

According to the bookies, Cilic is the heavy underdog in this matchup, but we partially disagree. If he serves as he did in the opening round, we believe he will win his service games easily.

That being said, Cilic covering the games handicap is a value bet.

Value bet/ the best odds: Marin Cilic +4.5 games handicap @2.00 @bet365

Bublik – Vacherot: 03.10.2025 11:00 CEST
H2H: first meeting

Alexander Bublik has won four of his last five matches. Last week in Beijing, Bublik lost to Mannarino in the opening round. A week before, the Kazakh won the title in Hangzhou.

Valentin Vacherot has won four of his last five matches. This week in Shanghai, Vacherot qualified for the main draw tournament. In the final qualifying round, Vacherot defeated Draxl in three tight sets. In the opening main draw round, Vacherot won against Djere in straight sets. He served well, not offering any breakpoints.

Best Bet to Make

According to the bookies, Bublik is the big favourite in this matchup, but we disagree. Vacherot has already won three matches in Shanghai. He offered no breakpoints against Djere in the opening round. If he serves well, we expect a tight match.

That being said, Vacherot covering the games handicap is a value bet.

Value bet/ the best odds: Valentin Vacherot +3.5 games handicap @1.91 @bet365