ATP Shanghai Best Bets Including Korda vs Bergs

ATP Masters 1000 Shanghai 1/64-Finals

Cilic – Basilashvili: 01.10.2025 08:00 CEST
H2H: 1-0

Marin Cilic has lost six straight matches. The last match he won was at Wimbledon almost three months ago. Last week in Beijing, Cilic lost to Sinner in the opening round in straight sets. He was the semifinalist here in 2017. Last season, Cilic lost against Cazaux in the opening round in straight sets.

Nikoloz Basilashvili has won three of his last five matches. Last week in Jingshan, Basilashvili lost to Tomic in the 1/8 finals of the Challenger tournament. This week in Shanghai, he qualified for the main draw tournament. In the final qualifying round, Basilashvili defeated Spizzirri in straight sets.

Best Bet to Make

According to the bookies, this will be a 50-50 matchup, but we disagree. Cilic is a better hard-court player than Basilashvili, and if he serves well, he will have decent chances.

That being said, Cilic winning is a value bet.

Value bet/ the best odds: Marin Cilic winning @1.91 @bet365

Dzumhur – O’Connell: Time TBA
H2H: first meeting

Damir Dzumhur has lost four of his last five matches. Last week in Tokyo, Dzumhur lost to Vukic in the opening round in three tight sets. So far this season, Dzumhur has not had any remarkable results on hard courts. Last season in Shanghai, the Bosnian lost against Monfils in the opening round in straight sets.

Christopher O’Connell has lost three of his last five matches. Last week in Beijing, O’Connell failed to qualify for the main draw tournament. He lost to van de Zandschulp in the opening qualifying round.

Best Bet to Make

According to the bookies, O’Connell is the slight favourite in this matchup, and we agree. O’Connell enjoys playing on fast courts, such as those in Shanghai. On the other hand, Dzumhur never won a main draw match in  Shanghai. We expect O’Connell to be a better player.

That being said, O’Connell winning is a value bet.

Value bet/ the best odds: Christopher O’Connell winning @1.67 @bet365

Korda – Bergs: 01.10.2025 09:30 CEST
H2H: first meeting

Sebastian Korda has won three of his last five matches. Last week in Tokyo, Korda had a decent run. Fritz eventually stopped him in the quarterfinals in three tight sets. In 2023 in Shanghai, Korda lost against Hurkacz in the semifinals.

Zizou Bergs has lost three of his last five matches. Last week in Tokyo, Bergs lost to Alcaraz in the 1/8-Finals in straight sets. Last season in Shanghai, Bergs lost to Dimitrov in the second round in a tight three-set match.

Best Bet to Make

According to the bookies, Korda is the favourite in this matchup, and we agree. The former world number 15 played well in Tokyo. If he repeats that level, we expect him to be a better player in Shanghai.

That being said, Korda covering the games handicap is a value bet.

Value bet/ the best odds: Sebastian Korda -3.5 games handicap @2.00 @bet365