ATP Shanghai Best Bets Including Rune vs Humbert

ATP Masters 1000 Shanghai 1/16-Finals

Goffin – Diallo: 05.10.2025 06:30 CEST
H2H: 1-0

David Goffin has won three of his last five matches. This week in Shanghai, Goffin won against Muller in the opening round in three sets. In the second round, Goffin upset Shelton in straight sets. He was great under pressure, saving three out of three breakpoints. Last season in Shanghai, he lost in the quarterfinals against Fritz in straight sets.

Gabriel Diallo has won three of his last five matches. Last week in Tokyo, Diallo lost in the opening round against Fritz in three tight sets. This week in Shanghai, Diallo defeated Bonzi in the opening round in straight sets. Last season in Shanghai, the Canadian lost against Davidovich Fokina in the opening round in straight sets.

Best Bet to Make

According to the bookies, Goffin is the underdog in this matchup, but we disagree. He dominated against Shelton in the second round. Last season in Australia, Goffin defeated Diallo in three tight sets. We expect a similar outcome tomorrow.

That being said, Goffin covering the games handicap is a value bet.

Value bet/ the best odds: David Goffin +2.5 games handicap @1.83 @bet365

Humbert – Rune: 05.10.2025 06:30 CEST
H2H: 0-4

Ugo Humbert has lost three of his last five matches. Last week in Tokyo, Humbert lost in the opening round against Brooksby in straight sets. This week in Shanghai, he defeated Thompson in straight sets. Last season in Shanghai, the Frenchman lost to Monfils in the third round in a tight three-set match.

Holger Rune has won three of his last five matches. He defeated Baez in the opening round in straight sets easily. Last season in Shanghai, he lost to Fritz in the fourth round in straight sets. This will be his third appearance in Shanghai.

Best Bet to Make

According to the bookies, Rune is the slight favourite in this matchup, and we agree. In their past four head-to-head meetings, Humbert did not find a solution for Rune’s game. We expect Rune to get a fifth consecutive win over Humbert.

That being said, Rune winning is a value bet.

Value bet/ the best odds: Holger Rune winning @1.53 @bet365

Cerundolo – Bergs: 05.10.2025 08:00 CEST
H2H: first meeting

Francisco Cerundolo has won three of his last five matches. In the opening round, the Argentine defeated Mannarino in straight sets. Last season in Shanghai, Cerundolo lost to Shevchenko in the second round in straight sets.

Zizou Bergs has won three of his last five matches. This week in Shanghai, he upset Korda in the opening round in straight sets. In the second round, Ruud retired in the deciding set against Bergs. Last season in Shanghai, Bergs lost to Dimitrov in the second round in a tight three-set match.

Best Bet to Make

According to the bookies, Cerundolo is the slight favourite in this matchup, but we disagree. Bergs played his best tennis en route to the third round. If he repeats his best tennis, we expect him to win tomorrow.

That being said, Bergs winning is a value bet.

Value bet/ the best odds: Zizou Bergs winning @2.38 @bet365