ATP Shanghai Best Bets Including Sonego vs Hanfmann

ATP Masters 1000 Shanghai 1/64-Finals

Nishioka – Shevchenko: 01.10.2025 09:30 CEST
H2H: first meeting

Yoshihito Nishioka has lost three of his last five matches. Last week in Tokyo, Nishioka lost to Darderi in the opening round in straight sets. This week in Shanghai, he qualified for the main draw tournament by winning both matches in straight sets.

Alexander Shevchenko has won four of his last five matches. Last week in Chengdu, Shevchenko had a solid run. Musetti eventually stopped him in the semifinals. Last season in Shanghai, Shevchenko lost to Mensik in the third round in a tight three-set match.

Best Bet to Make

According to the bookies, this will be an almost 50-50 matchup, but we disagree. Shevchenko played well in Chengdu. Before the ATP Shanghai, Nishioka was in terrible form. We believe Shevchenko is a better player.

That being said, Shevchenko winning is a value bet.

Value bet/ the best odds: Alexander Shevchenko winning @2.10 @bet365

Sonego – Hanfmann: 01.10.2025 11:00 CEST
H2H: 4-1

Lorenzo Sonego has lost four of his last five matches. Last week in Beijing, Sonego lost to Zverev in the opening round in straight sets. Last season in Shanghai, he lost to Shapovalov in the opening round in straight sets. He has never made it past the third round here.

Yannick Hanfmann has won four of his last five matches. Last week in Jingshan, Hanfmann lost against Spizzirri in the semifinals of the Challenger tournament. This week in Shanghai, Hanfmann defeated Mochizuki and Kubler in the qualifying tournament, both in straight sets.

Best Bet to Make

According to the bookies, Sonego is the slight favourite in this matchup, and we agree. Hanfmann is currently at the Challenger tour level. Sonego leads 4-1 in head-to-head meetings. We expect Sonego to be a better player tomorrow.

That being said, Sonego winning is a value bet.

Value bet/ the best odds: Lorenzo Sonego winning @1.53 @bet365

Zhang – Baez: 01.10.2025 12:30 CEST
H2H: 1-0

Zhizhen Zhang has lost four of his last five matches. Last week in Beijing, Zhang lost in the opening round against Atmane in straight sets. He has been granted a wild card this week in Shanghai. This will be his ninth appearance in Shanghai. Last season, Zhang lost to Bergs in the opening round in straight sets.

Sebastian Baez has lost four of his last five matches. Last week in Tokyo, Baez lost to Alcaraz in the opening round in straight sets. The Argentine has not had any remarkable results this season on hard courts. Last season in Shanghai, Baez lost against Monfils in the second round in three tight sets.

Best Bet to Make

According to the bookies, this will be a 50-50 matchup, but we disagree. Zhang has not played many competitive matches this season, and when he played, he underperformed. Baez played well in the past two editions in Shanghai. We expect him to do well against Zhang tomorrow.

That being said, Baez winning is a value bet.

Value bet/ the best odds: Sebastian Baez winning @2.10 @bet365