ATP Toronto Best Bets Including Fritz vs Shelton

ATP Masters 1000 Toronto semifinals

Zverev – Khachanov: 07.08.2025 01:00 CEST
H2H: 5-2

Alexander Zverev has won four of his last five matches. This week in Toronto, Zverev defeated Walton in the opening round in straight sets. Besides losing his serve once, the German served well throughout the match. In the second round, Zverev had to dig deep to get the win over Arnaldi. After losing the opening set 6-7, he turned the match around, winning in three tight sets after playing for almost three hours. In the 1/8-Finals, Cerundolo retired mid-match against Zverev.  Popyrin fought hard against Zverev in the quarterfinals, but the German once again turned the match around.

Karen Khachanov has won four of his last five matches. This week in Toronto, Khachanov defeated Ficovich in the opening round in straight sets. He was great under pressure, saving seven out of eight breakpoints. In the second round, Khachanov turned the match around against Nava after losing the opening set. The Russian outlasted Ruud in the 1/8-Finals in straight sets. Besides losing his serve once, Khachanov dominated on his serve. In the quarterfinals, he defeated Michelsen in straight sets.

Best Bet to Make

According to the bookies, Zverev is the slight favourite in this matchup, and we agree. He won the past three head-to-head meetings on hard courts against Khachanov in straight sets, and we expect him to continue in that fashion tonight as well.

That being said, Zverev covering the games handicap is a value bet.

Value bet/ the best odds: Alexander Zverev -2.5 games handicap @1.73 @bet365

Shelton – Fritz: 07.08.2025 02:30 CEST
H2H: 0-1

Ben Shelton has won four of his last five matches.  This week in Toronto, the American defeated Mannarino in straight sets in the opening match. He saved both breakpoints. In the third round, he won against Nakashima in three tight sets, after losing the opening set 6-7. His toughest challenge came in the 1/8-Finals against Cobolli. Shelton trailed 3-5 in the deciding set against the Italian. However, he stayed calm under pressure and turned the match around. He dominated in the quarterfinals against de Minaur, winning in straight sets.

Taylor Fritz has won four of his last five matches. This week, Fritz had a rough opening match against Carballes Baena. After fighting for over two hours, the American won in straight sets. In the second set, Fritz trailed 3-5, but turned it around. He demolished Diallo in the second round, winning in straight sets easily. Taylor offered and saved only one breakpoint. In the 1/8-Finals, the American defeated Lehecka in three tiebreaks. He was great under pressure, saving all nine breakpoints. Yesterday in the quarterfinals, he defeated Rublev in straight sets easily.

Best Bet to Make

According to the bookies, Fritz is the favourite in this matchup, but we disagree. Both players played and served well this week. Shelton and Fritz are not the best returners on tour. We expect three tight sets with possible tiebreaks.

That being said, over games is a value bet.

Value bet/ the best odds: over 24.5 games @1.80 @bet365