Cobolli – Shelton: 02.08.2025 17:00 CEST
H2H: 2-1
Flavio Cobolli has won four of his last five matches. Last week in Washington, Cobolli lost to Tiafoe in the 1/8-Finals in straight sets. In the opening round, Cobolli defeated Galaraneau in three tight sets. Marozsan put up a big fight in the second round, but the Italian was just slightly better, winning in three tight sets.
Ben Shelton has won three of his last five matches. Last week in Washington, Shelton lost to Davidovich Fokina in the semifinals in straight sets. This week in Toronto, the American defeated Mannarino in straight sets. He saved both breakpoints. In the second round, he won against Nakashima in three tight sets, after losing the opening set 6-7.
According to the bookies, Cobolli is the big underdog in this matchup, but we disagree. He is having his best season and played well against Marozsan yesterday. Cobolli leads 2-1 in head-to-head meetings, and we expect him to keep this match tight.
That being said, Cobolli covering the games handicap is a value bet.
Value bet/ the best odds: Flavio Cobolli +3.5 games handicap @1.73 @bet365
Michelsen – Tien: 02.08.2025 18:30 CEST
H2H: 1-1
Alex Michelsen has lost three of his last five matches. Last week in Washington, the American lost against Evans in the opening round in straight sets. This week in Toronto, he won against Barrios Vera in straight sets. He saved three consecutive set points in the opening set. In the second round, Michelsen upset Musetti in three tight sets.
Learner Tien has won four of his last five matches. This week in Toronto, the American defeated Smith in the opening round in straight sets. Besides losing his serve once, Tien served well throughout the match. In the second round, he defeated Shapovalov in straight sets. Tien defeated Opelka in the third round in straight sets.
According to the bookies, this will be a 50-50 matchup, but we disagree. Tien is in solid form and has defeated solid hard-court players throughout the past few weeks. On the other hand, Michelsen struggled with his form for the past few weeks.
That being said, Tien winning is a value bet.
Value bet/ the best odds: Learner Tien winning @1.80 @bet365
Khachanov – Ruud: 02.08.2025 20:00 CEST
H2H: 0-2
Karen Khachanov has won four of his last five matches. This week in Toronto, Khachanov defeated Ficovich in the opening round in straight sets. In the second round, Khachanov turned the match around against Nava after losing the opening set.
Casper Ruud has won three of his last five matches. This week in Toronto, Ruud defeated Safiullin in straight sets in the opening round. In the second round, the Norwegian defeated Borges in straight sets easily.
According to the bookies, this will be a 50-50 matchup, but we disagree. Ruud dominated in both matches and is one of the biggest favourites to win the title. He leads 2-0 in head-to-head meetings against Khachanov, and we expect him to continue that streak.
That being said, Ruud winning is a value bet.
Value bet/ the best odds: Casper Ruud winning @2.00 @bet365
More must-reads:
Get the latest news and rumors, customized to your favorite sports and teams. Emailed daily. Always free!