ATP United Cup Best Bets Including De Minaur vs Mensik

ATP United Cup

Auger-Aliassime – Bergs: 06.01.2026 00:30 CEST
H2H: 1-0

Felix Auger-Aliassime has won three of his last five matches. This week in Australia, the Canadian won his opening United Cup match against Zhang in straight sets. He served well, offering and saving only one breakpoint.

Zizou Bergs has lost three of his last five matches. The last match he played before the United Cup was in the Davis Cup in November, when he lost to Cobolli in three tight sets. The Belgian had a solid 2025 season, getting into the top 50 in the rankings. Bergs lost to Zhang in the opening match of the United Cup two days ago.

Best Bet to Make

According to the bookies, Auger-Aliassime is the favourite in this matchup, and we agree. The Canadian played well in the opening match and has more weapons than Bergs under these conditions.

That being said, Auger-Aliassime covering the games handicap is a value bet.

Value bet/ the best odds: Felix Auger-Aliassime -3.5 games handicap @1.73 @bet365

Cobolli – Rinderknech: 06.01.2026 03:00 CEST
H2H: 1-2

Flavio Cobolli has won three of his last five matches. This week in Australia, the Italian defeated Wawrinka in his opening match in three tight sets after spending almost three hours on the court. He served well, not offering any breakpoints.

Arthur Rinderknech has lost four of his last five matches. This week, the Frenchman lost to Wawrinka in three tight sets after playing for almost four hours on the court. After winning the opening set 7-5, the Frenchman lost two consecutive tiebreaks. Rinderknech played his best tennis in 2025 and finished the season ranked in the top 30 for the first time in his career.

Best Bet to Make

According to the bookies, this will be an almost 50-50 matchup, but we disagree. The Italian comes into this matchup with more confidence after winning against Wawrinka in a three-setter. We expect him to win.

That being said, Cobolli winning is a value bet.

Value bet/ the best odds: Flavio Cobolli winning @-128 @FanDuel

De Minaur – Mensik: 06.01.2026 09:00 CEST
H2H: 4-0

Alex de Minaur has won three of his last five matches. Last season, the Australian won both United Cup matches. He then reached the quarterfinals at the Australian Open. This week, de Minaur lost to Ruud in straight sets in the opening match of the United Cup.

Jakub Mensik has won three of his last five matches. This week in the United Cup, Mensik won his opening match against Ruud in straight sets. He lost his serve twice, but still came out on top. In the second set tiebreak, Mensik saved one set point.

Best Bet to Make

According to the bookies, Mensik is the underdog in this matchup, but we disagree. He has a strong serve and proved his calmness against Ruud in the opening match. If he serves well, we expect him to keep this match tight easily.

That being said, Mensik covering the games handicap is a value bet.

Value bet/ the best odds: Jakub Mensik +3.5 games handicap @-110 @FanDuel