ATP United Cup Best Bets Including De Minaur vs Ruud

ATP United Cup

Rinderknech – Wawrinka: 03.01.2026 04:30 CEST
H2H: first meeting

Arthur Rinderknech has lost four of his last five matches. The last match he played was in the Davis Cup, where he lost to Bergs in straight sets. Rinderknech played his best tennis in 2025 and finished the season ranked in the top 30 for the first time in his career.

Stanislas Wawrinka has lost three of his last five matches. The last match he played was in Athens in November, where he lost to Musetti in the 1/8-Finals. Wawrinka confirmed this will be his last season. He is currently ranked outside the top 150, but he will surely get many wild cards this season.

Best Bet to Make

According to the bookies, Rinderknech is the slight favourite in this matchup, and we agree. Wawrinka is far away from his best level and will face Rinderknech, who is in great form. We expect the Frenchman to dominate and win easily.

That being said, Rinderknech covering the games handicap is a value bet.

Value bet/ the best odds: Arthur Rinderknech -2.5 games handicap @1.91 @bet365

De Minaur – Ruud: 03.01.2026 09:00 CEST
H2H: 3-1

Alex de Minaur has won four of his last five matches. The last match he played was in December, where he played several exhibition matches. Last season, the Australian won both United Cup matches. He then reached the quarterfinals at the Australian Open.

Casper Ruud has won three of his last five matches. The last match he played was in December, where he played several exhibition matches. He enjoys playing in the United Cup, where he has won 6 of his seven matches so far.

Best Bet to Make

According to the bookies, de Minaur is the slight favourite in this matchup, and we agree. He has won the past three head-to-head meetings against Ruud. De Minaur enjoys playing on home soil, and we expect him to dominate in this matchup.

That being said, de Minaur covering the games handicap is a value bet.

Value bet/ the best odds: Alex de Minaur -2.5 games handicap @1.80 @bet365

Fritz – Baez: 03.01.2026 10:00 CEST
H2H: 5-0

Taylor Fritz has lost four of his last five matches. The last match he played was in December last season, losing to Tiafoe in three sets. Last season in the United Cup, Fritz helped the USA win the title.

Sebastian Baez has lost four of his last five matches. The last match he played before the United Cup was in November last season, when he lost to Guillen Meza on clay in straight sets. This week in Australia, the Argentine defeated Munar in straight sets.

Best Bet to Make

According to the bookies, Fritz is the heavy favourite in this matchup, and we agree. He dominated in every head-to-head meeting against Baez, especially on hard courts. We expect him to dominate on his serve and forehand and win easily.

That being said, Fritz covering the games handicap is a value bet.

Value bet/ the best odds: Taylor Fritz -5.5 games handicap @-122 @FanDuel