ATP United Cup Best Bets Including Tsitsipas vs Mochizuki

ATP United Cup

​Munar – Baez: 02.01.2026 03:00 CEST
H2H: 1-1

​Jaume Munar has lost four of his last five matches. The last match he played was in last season’s Davis Cup, where he lost to Cobolli in three sets. This will be his opening match of the season. Munar performed well last season on hard courts.

Sebastian Baez has lost five straight matches. The last match he played was in November last season, when he lost to Guillen Meza on clay in straight sets. His previous win was in October in Shanghai, when he defeated Zhang in three tight sets. The Argentine struggled on hard courts last season.

Best Bet to Make

​According to the bookies, Munar is the heavy favourite in this matchup, and we agree. He performed well last season on fast courts and will have an edge on his serve. We expect him to dominate against Baez, who struggled in the second part of the 2025 season.

​That being said, Munar covering the games handicap is a value bet.

​Value bet/ the best odds: Jaume Munar -4.5 games handicap @1.80 @bet365

Tsitsipas – Mochizuki: 02.01.2026 11:30 CEST
H2H: first meeting

​Stefanos Tsitsipas has lost three of his last five matches. The last match he played was in October in Saudi Arabia, where Sinner defeated him in straight sets. So far in the United Cup, Tsitsipas has played eight singles matches and won six. However, he struggled last season, dropping outside the top 30 in the rankings.

​Shintaro Mochizuki has lost four of his last five matches. The last match he played was in Bergamo, where he lost to Arnaboldi in three tight sets in the opening round. Mochizuki will have a debut campaign in the United Cup.

​Best Bet to Make

​According to the bookies, Tsitsipas is the heavy favourite in this matchup, but we disagree. Mochizuki had a solid 2025 season. He enjoys playing on hard courts. On the other hand, Tsitsipas lost his self-confidence. We expect a tight match that could go either way.

​That being said, Mochizuki covering the games handicap is a value bet.

​Value bet/ the best odds: Shintaro Mochizuki +3.5 games handicap @1.80 @bet365

Bergs – Zhang: 03.01.2026 02:00 CEST
H2H: 3-1

​Zizou Bergs has lost three of his last five matches. The last match he played was in the Davis Cup in November, when he lost to Cobolli in three tight sets. The Belgian had a solid 2025 season, getting into the top 50 in the rankings.

Zhizhen Zhang has lost four of his last five matches. The last match he played was last week in an exhibition tournament. He defeated Cobolli and lost to Vacherot. Zhang did not play many matches last season due to injuries, leaving him outside the top 400.

​Best Bet to Make

​According to the bookies, Bergs is the slight favourite in this matchup, and we agree. He is in better form and leads 3-1 in head-to-head meetings. Bergs won three consecutive matches against Zhang, and we expect him to continue that streak.

​That being said, Bergs winning is a value bet.

​Value bet/ the best odds: Zizou Bergs winning @1.50 @bet365