ATP US Open Best Bets Including Sinner vs Musetti

ATP US Open quarterfinals

Auger-Aliassime – de Minaur: 03.09.2025 17:30 CEST
H2H: 3-3

Felix Auger-Aliassime has won four of his last five matches. In the past two editions, the Canadian exited both times in the opening round. This week, Auger-Aliassime won against Harris in the opening round in straight sets. He trailed 3-5 and saved three set points in the second set. In the second round, Felix defeated Safiullin in straight sets easily. He saved six out of seven breakpoints. His most formidable challenge happened in the third round against Zverev. After losing the opening set 4-6, the Canadian turned the match around, winning in four tight sets. In the 1/8-Finals, Auger-Aliassime trailed 2-4 in the opening set, but turned it around and won in straight sets against Rublev.

Alex de Minaur has won four of his last five matches. This week at the US Open, de Minaur defeated O’Connell in the opening round in straight sets. He served great, not offering any breakpoints. In the second round, de Minaur defeated Mochizuki in straight sets comfortably. Daniel Altmaier retired mid-match against de Minaur in the fourth set. De Minaur demolished Riedi in the 1/8-Finals. In less than two hours, the Australian won in straight sets comfortably.

Best Bet to Make

According to the bookies, de Minaur is the slight favourite in this matchup, and we agree. He is a better player at the Grand Slam level than Auger-Aliassime. Both players played well this past week. However, we believe that de Minaur will handle the pressure better than Auger-Aliassime and win.

That being said, de Minaur winning is a value bet.

Value bet/ the best odds: Alex de Minaur winning @1.62 @bet365

Sinner – Musetti: 04.09.2025 02:30 CEST
H2H: 2-1

Jannik Sinner has won four of his last five matches. The Italian is the defending champion in New York. Last season, Sinner defeated Fritz in the final in straight sets. This week, Sinner defeated Kopriva in straight sets comfortably. He saved two breakpoints. In the second round, Sinner saved all five breakpoints and won against Popyrin in straight sets. His toughest challenge came in the third round against Shapovalov. Sinner lost the opening set, but turned the match around and won in four tight sets. In the 1/8-Finals, Sinner demolished Bublik in straight sets, whilst losing only three games altogether.

Lorenzo Musetti has won four of his last five matches. His toughest challenge this week happened in the opening round against Mpetshi Perricard, when he won in four tight sets. After that, Musetti defeated Goffin, Cobolli and Munar while not dropping a single set. In the 1/8-Finals, the Italian demolished Munar in straight sets. He offered and saved four breakpoints.

Best Bet to Make

According to the bookies, Sinner is the heavy favourite in this matchup, and we partially agree. However, Musetti is in great form and played his best tennis. He enjoys playing at the Grand Slam level, where he consistently performs well. We expect Musetti to put up a show and keep this match tight.

That being said, Musetti covering the games handicap is a value bet.

Value bet/ the best odds: Lorenzo Musetti +7.5 games handicap @2.10 @bet365