ATP US Open Best Bets Including Sinner vs Shapovalov

ATP US Open 1/16-Finals

Bonzi – Rinderknech: 29.08.2025 17:00 CEST
H2H: 3-1

Benjamin Bonzi has won four of his last five matches. This week in New York, Bonzi upset Medvedev in the opening round in five tight sets. The Frenchman turned the match around in the second round against Giron after being 0-2 down. Last season, Bonzi failed to qualify for the main draw of the tournament.

Arthur Rinderknech has won three of his last five matches. This week in New York, Rinderknech won the opening match against Carballes Baena in four tight sets. In the second round, Rinderknech upset Davidovich Fokina in five tight sets.

Best Bet to Make

According to the bookies, this will be a 50-50 matchup, but we disagree. Bonzi played better this week. He leads 3-1 in head-to-head meetings against Rinderknech. We expect him to prolong that winning streak.

That being said, Bonzi winning is a value bet.

Value bet/ the best odds: Benjamin Bonzi winning @1.73 @bet365

Blanchet – Machac: 29.08.2025 23:00 CEST
H2H: first meeting

Ugo Blanchet has won five straight matches. This week in New York, Blanchet qualified for the main draw tournament. In the opening main draw round, Blanchet upset Marozsan in four sets. His most significant win of his young career happened in the second round, when he upset Mensik in five tight sets.

Tomas Machac has lost three of his last five matches. This week in New York, Machac defeated Nardi in the opening round in straight sets. He only dropped five games in three sets and dominated throughout. In the second round, Machac easily defeated Fonseca in straight sets.

Best Bet to Make

According to the bookies, Machac is the favourite in this matchup, and we agree. He dominated in both matches this week and has more experience than Blanchet at the highest level. Blanchet has spent way more time on the court than Machac, and we expect him to be exhausted for this matchup.

That being said, Machac covering the games handicap is a value bet.

Value bet/ the best odds: Tomas Machac -5.5 games handicap @1.73 @bet365

Sinner – Shapovalov: Time TBA
H2H: 0-1

Jannik Sinner has won four of his last five matches. The Italian is the defending champion in New York. Last season, Sinner defeated Fritz in the final in straight sets. This week, Sinner defeated Kopriva in straight sets comfortably. He saved two breakpoints. In the second round, Sinner saved all five breakpoints and won against Popyrin in straight sets.

Denis Shapovalov has won three of his last five matches. This week in New York, Shapovalov got the job done comfortably against Fucsovics and Royer. He lost only one set en route to the third round.

Best Bet to Make

According to the bookies, Sinner is the favourite in this matchup, and we agree. He is the best player in the world and the biggest favourite to win the title this week. On the other hand, Shapovalov usually underperforms at the Grand Slam level. We expect Sinner to win easily.

That being said, Sinner covering the games handicap is a value bet.

Value bet/ the best odds: Jannik Sinner -7.5 games handicap @1.67 @bet365