Altmaier – de Minaur: 30.08.2025 22:00 CEST
H2H: 0-2
Daniel Altmaier has won three of his last five matches. The German won the opening round at the US Open against Medjedovic in five sets. In the second round, Altmaier upset Tsitsipas in five tight sets, after trailing 1-2.
Alex de Minaur has won three of his last five matches. This week at the US Open, de Minaur defeated O’Connell in the opening round in straight sets. He served great, not offering any breakpoints. In the second round, de Minaur defeated Mochizuki in straight sets comfortably.
According to the bookies, de Minaur is the heavy favourite in this matchup, and we agree. Altmaier had two five-setters and will be exhausted. On the other hand, de Minaur dominated in both matches and leads 2-0 in head-to-head meetings against Altmaier. We expect a one-sided match.
That being said, de Minaur covering the games handicap is a value bet.
Value bet/ the best odds: Alex de Minaur -7.5 games handicap @1.73 @bet365
Zverev – Auger-Aliassime: 31.08.2025 01:00 CEST
H2H: 8-3
Alexander Zverev has won four of his last five matches. In the past two editions, the German exited in the quarterfinals both times. This week in New York, Zverev won the opening match against Tabilo in straight sets. In the second round, the German defeated Fearnley in straight sets comfortably.
Felix Auger-Aliassime has won four of his last five matches. In the past two editions, the Canadian exited both times in the opening round. This week, Auger-Aliassime won against Harris in the opening round in straight sets. He trailed 3-5 and saved three set points in the second set. In the second round, Felix defeated Safiullin in straight sets easily.
According to the bookies, Auger-Aliassime is the underdog in this matchup, but we disagree. He delivered his best tennis in the second round against Safiullin. With his strong serve, the Canadian will keep this match close.
That being said, Auger-Aliassime covering the games handicap is a value bet.
Value bet/ the best odds: Felix Auger-Aliassime +4.5 games handicap @1.83 @bet365
Bublik – Paul: 31.08.2025 02:30 CEST
H2H: 1-5
Alexander Bublik has won ten straight matches. After winning back-to-back titles in Gstaad and Kitzbühel on clay, the Kazakh took some time off to rest and prepare for the upcoming US Open. This week in New York, Bublik dominated in the opening match against Cilic. He won in straight sets, saving both breakpoints. In the second round, the Kazakh defeated Schoolkate in straight sets easily.
Tommy Paul has won three of his last five matches. This week, Paul demolished Moller in the opening round in straight sets. He offered no breakpoints. Last season, the American lost against Sinner in the fourth round. In the second round, Paul defeated Borges in five tight sets after spending almost five hours on the court.
According to the bookies, this will be an almost 50-50 matchup, but we disagree. Bublik is in great form and one of the dark horses of the tournament. We expect him to go deep this week.
That being said, Bublik winning is a value bet.
Value bet/ the best odds: Alexander Bublik winning @1.73 @bet365
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