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ATP Washington Best Bets Including Fritz vs Vukic
Main Photo Credit: Mike Frey USA TODAY Sports

ATP 500 Washington 1/16-Finals

Cobolli – Nishioka: 23.07.2025 Time TBA
H2H: 1-1

Flavio Cobolli has won four of his last five matches. Last week, Cobolli played in the Hopman Cup, winning all three singles matches for Italy. Last season in Washington, he reached the final, losing to Korda in three tight sets.

Yoshihito Nishioka has lost three of his last five matches. His last match before the ATP event in Washington was at Wimbledon, where he lost to Dimitrov in straight sets in the opening round. This week in Washington, he defeated Brooksby in three sets after playing for almost three hours on the court.

Best Bet to Make

According to the bookies, Cobolli is the slight favourite in this matchup, and we agree. He is in great form and has already played in the final here in Washington. On the other hand, Nishioka was injured for most of the season and has not played many matches in recent months. We expect Cobolli to be a better player tomorrow.

That being said, Cobolli winning is a value bet.

Value bet/ the best odds: Flavio Cobolli winning @1.50 @bet365

Fritz – Vukic: 23.07.2025 Time TBA
H2H: 2-0

Taylor Fritz has won four of his last five matches. His last match was at Wimbledon, where he had a decent run, reaching the semifinals. In the semifinal, Fritz lost against Alcaraz in four tight sets.

Aleksandar Vukic has lost three of his last five matches. Last week in Los Cabos, he lost against Nava in the opening round in straight sets. This week in Washington, the Australian defeated Mpetshi Perricard in three tight sets. He was great under pressure, saving seven out of eight breakpoints.

Best Bet to Make

According to the bookies, Fritz is the favourite in this matchup and we agree. He is ranked number 4 in the world and has performed exceptionally well at Wimbledon. On the other hand, Vukic was inconsistent throughout the season. Fritz is a better player, and we expect him to win easily tomorrow.

That being said, Fritz covering the games handicap is a value bet.

Value bet/ the best odds: Taylor Fritz -4.5 games handicap @1.91 @bet365

Arnaldi – Sonego: 23.07.2025 Time TBA
H2H: first meeting

Matteo Arnaldi has lost three of his last five matches. His last match before the ATP event in Washington was at Wimbledon, where he lost to Van de Zandschulp in straight sets. This week, the Italian defeated Altmaier in three tight sets. After losing the opening set 4-6, he turned the match around.

Lorenzo Sonego has won three of his last five matches. His last match was at Wimbledon, where he lost to Shelton in the quarterfinals in four tight sets. So far this season, his best result on hard court was at the Australian Open, when he reached the quarterfinals.

Best Bet to Make

According to the bookies, this will be a 50-50 matchup, but we disagree. Arnaldi is in better form currently and has already played the opening round this week. On the other hand, Sonego usually underperforms on hard courts. We expect Arnaldi to be a better player and win tomorrow.

That being said, Arnaldi winning is a value bet.

Value bet/ the best odds: Matteo Arnaldi winning @2.00 @bet365

This article first appeared on Last Word On Sports and was syndicated with permission.

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