De Minaur – Bu: 23.07.2025 Time TBA
H2H: 1-0
Alex de Minaur has won four of his last five matches. His last match was at Wimbledon, where he lost to Djokovic in the quarterfinals. His last appearance in Washington was in 2022, when he lost to Nishioka in the second round.
Yunchaokete Bu has lost three of his last five matches. Last week in Los Cabos, Bu lost against Nava in three tight sets in the second round. This week in Washington, he won the opening match against Goffin in straight sets. He was great under pressure, saving six out of seven breakpoints.
According to the bookies, de Minaur is the favourite in this matchup and we agree. He looks to get back into the top 10 and is one of the favourites to win the title this week. We expect him to dominate and win easily.
That being said, de Minaur covering the games handicap is a value bet.
Value bet/ the best odds: Alex de Minaur -4.5 games handicap @1.67 @bet365
Medvedev – Opelka: 23.07.2025 Time TBA
H2H: 4-2
Daniil Medvedev has won three of his last five matches. His last match was at Wimbledon, where he lost to Bonzi in the opening round in four sets. His last hard-court match was in Miami, where he lost to Munar in the opening round.
Reilly Opelka has won three of his last five matches. This week in Washington, Opelka won the opening round match against Cassone in three tight sets after playing for over two hours. He broke Cassone’s serve at the beginning of the deciding set and closed out the match easily.
According to the bookies, Medvedev is the favourite in this matchup, but we disagree. The American enjoys playing in the States, especially on hard courts. On the other hand, Medvedev was inconsistent this season so far. With his heavy serve, we believe Opelka will keep this match tight.
That being said, Opelka covering the games handicap is a value bet.
Value bet/ the best odds: Reilly Opelka +2.5 games handicap @2.10 @bet365
Tien – Rublev: 23.07.2025 Time TBA
H2H: first meeting
Learner Tien has won three of his last five matches. His last match before the ATP event in Washington was at Wimbledon, where he lost to Jarry in the second round. This week in Washington, Tien defeated Nava in the opening round in straight sets. Besides losing his serve once, he dominated from start to finish.
Andrey Rublev has won three of his last five matches. Last week in Los Cabos, the Russian had a decent run, reaching the semifinals. He eventually lost to Kovacevic in three tight sets.
According to the bookies, Rublev is the favourite in this matchup, but we disagree. Tien will have a packed crowd on his side and has dominated in the opening round. We expect him to play well once again and keep this match tight.
That being said, Tien covering the games handicap is a value bet.
Value bet/ the best odds: Learner Tien +2.5 games handicap @2.00 @bet365
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