ATP Wimbledon Best Bets Including Alcaraz vs Rublev

ATP Wimbledon 1/8-Finals

Fritz – Thompson: 06.07.2025 12:00 CEST
H2H: 2-1

Taylor Fritz has won seven straight matches. This week at Wimbledon, in the opening two rounds, Fritz defeated Mpetshi Perricard and Diallo in five tight sets. In the third round, he defeated Davidovich Fokina in four tight sets. Last season at Wimbledon, Fritz lost to Musetti in the quarterfinals, which was also his most significant result there.

Jordan Thompson has won three of his last five matches. This week at Wimbledon, Thompson defeated Kopriva in the opening round in five tight sets. After trailing 0-2, he stepped up his level and turned the match around. In the second round, the Australian won against Bonzi in five tight sets after playing almost four hours. Thompson defeated Darderi in the third round in four sets.

Best Bet to Make

According to the bookies, Fritz is the favourite in this matchup, and we agree. He has the firepower to dominate against Thompson, who struggled in every match. We expect Fritz to dominate and win easily.

That being said, Fritz covering the games handicap is a value bet.

Value bet/ the best odds: Taylor Fritz +5.5 games handicap @2.00 @bet365

Jarry – Norrie: 06.07.2025 Time TBA
H2H: 1-1

Nicolas Jarry has won six straight matches. This week in London, Jarry qualified for the main draw of the tournament by winning all three qualifying matches in straight sets. En route to the 1/8-Finals, the Chilean defeated Rune, Tien and Fonseca.

Cameron Norrie has won three of his last five matches. This week at Wimbledon, the Brit won the opening round against Bautista-Agut in four tight sets. He trailed 3-5 in the fourth set but turned it around. Norrie upset Tiafoe in the second round. After losing the opening set 4-6, the Brit stepped up his level and turned the match around. Yesterday, in the third round, he defeated Bellucci in straight sets. Last season at Wimbledon, Norrie lost to Zverev in the third round in a tight straight sets match.

Best Bet to Make

According to the bookies, this will be an almost 50-50 matchup, but we disagree. Jarry had a tougher draw than Norrie but still dominated. He will be confident coming into this match, and we expect him to be a better player tomorrow.

That being said, Jarry winning is a value bet.

Value bet/ the best odds: Nicolas Jarry winning @2.10 @bet365

Rublev – Alcaraz: 06.07.2025 Time TBA
H2H: 2-2

Andrey Rublev has won five straight matches. This week at Wimbledon, Rublev defeated Djere, Harris and Mannarino en route to the 1/8-Finals. He has only dropped two sets so far.

Carlos Alcaraz has won twenty-one straight matches. This week at Wimbledon, the Spaniard defeated Fognini, Tarvet and Struff en route to the 1/8-Finals. His toughest challenge was in the opening round, where he won against Fognini in five tight sets.

Best Bet to Make

According to the bookies, Alcaraz is the big favourite in this matchup, but we disagree. He lost at least one set against solid grass-court players. Rublev is always a dangerous opponent, and we expect him to win at least one set tomorrow.

That being said, Rublev winning at least one set is a value bet.

Value bet/ the best odds: Andrey Rublev +2.5 sets @-120 @FanDuel