Well, well, well. Here we go again with another chapter in the “Alex de Minaur Can’t Beat Jannik Sinner” saga. The Italian tennis maestro just delivered another masterclass performance, beating the Australian 6-3, 4-6, 6-2 in Beijing’s China Open semifinals, maintaining his perfect 11-0 record against De Minaur. At this point, you’d think De Minaur would have learned a thing or two about facing Sinner, but apparently not.
Let’s be real here—Sinner’s dominance in Beijing is becoming almost embarrassing for his opponents. The 24-year-old Italian has now reached his third consecutive China Open final, joining none other than Novak Djokovic (2012-15) in that exclusive club. It’s like watching a tennis version of Groundhog Day, except instead of Bill Murray reliving the same day, it’s Sinner reliving the same victory against De Minaur over and over again.
This latest triumph wasn’t just another notch on Sinner’s belt; it marked his advancement to his 30th tour-level final and his ninth consecutive title match on hard courts. Nine consecutive finals on hard courts? That’s not just impressive—that’s downright scary for anyone else trying to make a living on the tennis tour.
The semifinal clash lasted two hours and 20 minutes, which honestly felt longer than it needed to be considering we all knew how this movie was going to end. Sinner started strong, using his trademark forehand to slice through De Minaur‘s defenses like a hot knife through butter. The Italian’s strategy was textbook: pull the Australian from side to side until he cracked. Mission accomplished in set one.
But here’s where things got mildly interesting—De Minaur actually fought back in the second set. I know, I know, shocking stuff. The Aussie cleaned up his game, committing just eight unforced errors compared to Sinner’s 20, and managed to snag his second-ever set against the world No. 2. For a brief moment, tennis fans worldwide thought, “Maybe this time will be different.” Spoiler alert: it wasn’t.
The third set was where Sinner reminded everyone why he’s currently ranked second in the world. Despite landing only 52% of his first serves (which would make most players sweat bullets), the Italian turned up the heat with some absolutely ruthless baseline play. His forehand became a weapon of mass destruction, recording a ridiculous 9.8 shot quality rating while making 30 of 33 attempts.
At this point, you have to feel a little sorry for De Minaur. The guy has earned more hard-court wins than anyone else this year (34), but when it comes to facing Sinner, he might as well be playing with a tennis racket made of spaghetti.
Sinner will now face either Daniil Medvedev or Learner Tien in Wednesday’s final, where he’ll be hunting his 21st tour-level crown. The Italian has reached finals in seven of the eight events he’s played this year, winning titles at the Australian Open and Wimbledon. Not too shabby for someone who’s supposedly still finding his feet at the top level.
Meanwhile, De Minaur can console himself with the fact that his semifinal run has boosted his ATP Finals qualification chances. He’s moved up to seventh in the race to Turin with 3,345 points, sitting 640 points ahead of the cutoff line. So there’s that, at least.
What makes this victory even more impressive is the context surrounding it. Sinner arrived in Beijing fresh off a heartbreaking loss to Carlos Alcaraz in the US Open final, a defeat that cost him the world No. 1 ranking. Lesser players might have arrived in China licking their wounds, but not our Italian stallion. Instead, he’s treating the China Open like his personal playground.
“I felt like the level was very high,” Sinner said post-match, displaying the kind of diplomatic language that makes press conferences so wonderfully bland. “Many great rallies, many great chances for both.” Sure, Jannik. “Great chances for both” is one way to describe a match where you’ve now beaten the same guy 11 times in a row.
The reality is that Sinner’s mental fortitude continues to be his secret weapon. After dropping that second set—which could have been a momentum killer—he came back stronger than ever. That’s the mark of a champion, even if it makes for predictable viewing when he faces certain opponents.
Let’s spare a thought for Alex de Minaur, who at this point must wake up in cold sweats thinking about facing Sinner. The Australian has been having a stellar year by most measures, but when it comes to this particular matchup, he’s like a basketball team trying to beat the Harlem Globetrotters—entertaining to watch, but we all know how it ends.
“He was serving great at times with great pace and precision,” Sinner noted about his opponent, probably feeling generous in victory. “He was returning very well.” Translation: “He played okay, but I’m just better.”
The harsh truth is that some matchups in tennis are just brutal, and this is one of them. De Minaur has all the tools—speed, determination, solid groundstrokes—but when facing Sinner, it’s like bringing a knife to a gunfight. The Italian simply has too much firepower from the baseline, and his ability to dictate points makes De Minaur’s defensive style look inadequate.
As Sinner prepares for his third consecutive Beijing final, the tennis world watches with a mixture of admiration and slight boredom. Don’t get me wrong—watching excellence in action is always compelling, but when the outcome feels predetermined, it loses some of its luster.
The Italian’s path to tennis greatness continues to unfold before our eyes, and Beijing has become something of a second home for his trophy collection. Whether he faces Medvedev or the rising star Tien in the final, you can bet he’ll bring the same relentless intensity that has made him such a formidable opponent on hard courts.
For tennis fans hoping for drama and unpredictability, Sinner vs. De Minaur matchups might not be your cup of tea. But for those who appreciate watching a master craftsman at work, these encounters serve as perfect examples of how mental toughness and superior shot-making can create seemingly insurmountable advantages in professional tennis.
The Beijing final awaits, and with it, another opportunity for Sinner to add to his growing legacy. As for De Minaur? Well, there’s always next time. Maybe the 12th time will be the charm.
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