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Unexpected dark horse primed to win French Open
Lorenzo Musetti. IPA

Unexpected dark horse primed to win French Open

As the tennis world celebrates the rise of emerging stars such as Jack Draper, Jakub Mensik and Mirra Andreeva, there is a dark horse — Lorenzo Musetti — who is quietly ascending from the shadows.

The 23-year-old began the new season without a single ATP100 semi-finals appearance or a win against a top-10 player at a major. He was regarded as a fringe top-15 player, not a threat to make any noise. 

In just a few months, he has reached the final four at all three clay 1000s, including a runner-up finish in Monte Carlo, and checked off another box with a win over World No. 10 Holger Rune in the fourth round of the French Open on Sunday. 

If Musetti can knock off Frances Tiafoe in the quarterfinal, he will most likely face reigning champion Carlos Alcaraz in the semifinal. Although Alcaraz will start as the favorite, Musetti is playing at a very high level right now, highlighted by his 17-3 record on clay this spring. 

Musetti knows he's on the upward trajectory. On Sunday, he finally beat a top-10 opponent at a major after going 0-5 in previous such instances, not to mention 0-3 in the round of 16 at Roland-Garros. The Italian attributes his newfound success to a shift in mentality. 

"It's incredible," Musetti said of his breakthrough win. "Yesterday night, I was dreaming about playing like this ... I had to raise the level, and I've done it, and I'm really, really proud of myself ... I've put some more order in what I do on the court. I've started to complain a little bit less and think a little bit more, and that's what I did tonight, also ... It made me come back with another mentality, another attitude, and it's this kind of attitude that's made me improve on the court."

In previous years, Musetti — a defensive baseliner without an explosive forehand — would struggle when opponents targeted his backhand. One of the noticeable adjustments is that he's able to generate angles while trusting his backhand, making opponents move around the court while adhering to his defensive-first instincts. 

In the victory over Rune, for example, Musetti lost just two rallies that lasted longer than nine shots, per Infosys tracking data. That metric paints the picture of a patient player who trusts his game.

Musetti owns the fifth shortest odds to win the French Open, but he certainly seems to have the momentum to go the distance. As is the case with many athletes, some are late bloomers who emerge when everything starts to fall into place. The Italian is giving off that vibe.

Sai Mohan

A veteran sportswriter based in Portugal, Sai covers the NBA for Yardbarker and a few local news outlets. He had the honor of covering sporting events across four different continents as a newspaper reporter. Some of his all-time favorite athletes include Mike Tyson, Larry Bird, Luís Figo, Ayrton Senna and Steffi Graf.

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