Liberty vs Wings Prediction, Odds, Pick for Monday, July 28

The New York Liberty and Dallas Wings meet in the WNBA tonight. Tipoff is set for 8:00 p.m. EDT at College Park Center in Arlington, Texas. The game will be broadcast live on ESPN.

The Liberty are favored by -7.5 on the spread, with the over/under set at 170.5 (-110o / -110u). The Liberty are a -325 favorite to win outright, while the Wings are +260 to pull off the upset.

Let’s get into my Liberty vs. Wings prediction and WNBA picks.

Liberty vs. Wings Odds, Pick

• Liberty vs. Wings Spread: Liberty -7.5 (-110), Wings +7.5 (-110)
• Liberty vs. Wings Over/Under: 170.5 (-110o / -110u)
• Liberty vs. Wings Moneyline: Liberty -325, Wings +260
• Liberty vs. Wings Best Bet: Sabrina Ionescu Over 20.5 Points, Natasha Cloud Over 16.5 PA

The New York Liberty face off against the Dallas Wings on Monday night in what could be an up-tempo matchup.

Breanna Stewart (leg) left Saturday’s game against the Sparks after just three minutes, and while she has avoided significant injury, she is not expected to play tonight, despite traveling with the team.

The Liberty will also be without Nyara Sabally due to knee discomfort. The team is anxiously awaiting Emma Meesseman’s debut as well; she could provide an immediate boost to their frontcourt.

For the Wings, Paige Bueckers sat out their game on Sunday for rest, along with Maddy Siegrist (knee) and Myisha Hines-Allen. Their status has not been updated just yet for today’s contest, but Bueckers should play, considering her miss was not due to injury.

Surprisingly, the Liberty remain fairly static in terms of their efficiency and advanced metrics without Stewart. Their offense actually improves by about a point, although the defense is two points worse per 100 possessions.

The players who see the biggest boost are Sabrina Ionescu and Natasha Cloud. Sab’s scoring skyrockets from 28.2 points per 100 to 42.3 points per 100, and Cloud’s from 16.5 to 25.8.

The Usage bump is significant. Sabrina’s points line is set at 20.5, and Cloud’s PA (points + assists) line is 16.5, both spots I’d be willing to grab given the up-tempo pace with which both of these teams play.

Despite Stewart not playing, the Liberty should be able to handle this game with the Wings on a back-to-back.

I’ll trust the Liberty’s guards to take care of business.

Best Bet: Sabrina Ionescu Over 20.5 Points, Natasha Cloud Over 16.5 PA