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Boxing Tonight: Jake Paul vs Julio Cesar Chavez Jr Odds & Prediction

Originally posted on KO on SI | By Apratim Banerjee | Last updated Jun 28, 2025 9:43 AM ET

Jake Paul takes on former middleweight champion Julio Cesar Chavez Jr in a 10-round clash at the Honda Center in Anaheim, California, on June 28. Paul heads into the fight with a record of 11-1-0 with seven knockout wins.

Chavez Jr, meanwhile, has experience on his side and holds a record of 54-6-1 with 34 knockout wins, even sharing the ring with world class opponents like Canelo Alvarez. However, he has been through some difficult times and was recently in rehab. Chavez Jr has been in the world of crossover boxing for a while now, taking on UFC fighters Uriah Hall, Anderson Silva, and more.

With a win against Chavez Jr, Paul can further establish his boxing credentials among fans to some degree. His only career loss came against Tommy Fury, arguably the sole active boxer that he has fought. Nevertheless, it's a must watch contest.

Let's have a look at the betting odds and prediction for the fight.

⚖️ Jake Paul vs Julio Cesar Chavez Jr Weigh-in results:

Jake Paul - 199.4lbs
Julio Cesar Chavez Jr - 198.4lbs

Chavez was in rehab last year and doesn’t appear to be in tip-top shape. Paul, of course, is coming off a “fight” with the 58-year-old Mike Tyson in November.… pic.twitter.com/iTCTeYfCza
— Ring Magazine (@ringmagazine) June 27, 2025

Odds courtesy of Draftkings

Jake Paul vs Julio Cesar Chavez Jr moneyline odds

Moneyline: Jake Paul -575, Chavez Jr +400

Jake Paul vs Julio Cesar Chavez Jr total rounds

Total rounds: 8.5 (Over -225, Under +160)

Jake Paul vs Julio Cesar Chavez Jr knockout odds

KO/TKO/DQ: Jake Paul +165, Chavez Jr +800

Jake Paul vs Julio Cesar Chavez Jr decision odds

Decision: Jake Paul -110, Chavez Jr +900

Jake Paul vs Julio Cesar Chavez Jr prediction

During the peak of his career, Julio Cesar Chavez Jr competed at the highest level. However, he has been through some personal turmoil in recent years. His 2021 loss to Anderson Silva put a big question mark on Chavez Jr's condition.

Jake Paul, meanwhile, has never fought a former world champion like this. However, the clash takes place at cruiserweight while Chavez Jr has mostly competed at middleweight.

If Chavez Jr can implement the patented Mexican pressure, which he once could, it will be hard for Paul to handle what's coming his way. That said, the former middleweight champion's state is unknown.

The higher weight class should also favor Paul, although it shouldn't be a walk in the park for 'The Problem Child'. He'll look to use his jab and power shots to handle Chavez Jr's pressure. Jake Paul should be able to edge out a decision win against a weary Chavez Jr in a back-and-forth contest.

Winner: Jake Paul via split decision