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As 2025 wraps up, most people are preparing for holiday dinners, travel plans, and regrettable gift receipts. But boxing fans? They’re getting ready for something far more chaotic — the Jake Paul vs. Anthony Joshua spectacle on Netflix on Dec. 19.
Based on the betting markets, sportsbooks seem convinced this fight might not last long enough for viewers to settle into their seats. FanDuel and OddsChecker both opened the vault this week, and the numbers are wild enough to make calculators file for overtime.
FanDuel’s latest lines set the tone, projecting a short, violent encounter with a menu of round props, knockout markets, and alternate totals that read like a choose-your-own-disaster novel.
Meanwhile, OddsChecker — compiling odds from Bet365, William Hill, BetMGM, Paddy Power, Sky Bet and more — tells the same story with even stronger conviction. Between the U.S. and UK markets, the global consensus is clear: one fighter is expected to deliver damage, and the other is hoping to survive long enough to swing back.
Moneyline Odds
FanDuel
- Jake Paul: +700
- Anthony Joshua: -1300
OddsChecker (UK Books)
- Anthony Joshua: 1/9 to 1/14
- Jake Paul: 6/1 to 17/2
- Draw: 20/1 to 33/1
Across all major books, Joshua is priced as a near-certainty. Paul, on the other hand, is being treated like a scratch-off ticket with inspirational messaging.
Method of Victory
FanDuel
- Paul by KO/TKO: +1000
- Paul by decision: +1400
- Joshua by KO/TKO: -425
- Joshua by decision: +500
OddsChecker
- Joshua by decision or technical decision: 5/1
- Paul by decision or technical decision: 17/1
The shared theme: if this goes to the scorecards, sportsbooks will be shocked.
Round Betting
FanDuel Round Odds for Jake Paul
- Round 1: +5000
- Round 2: +6000
- Round 3: +6000
- Round 4: +6500
- Round 5: +7500
- Round 6: +8000
OddsChecker Round Odds for Anthony Joshua
- Round 1: 14/5
- Round 2: 18/5
- Round 3: 13/2
- Round 4: 11/1
- Round 5: 18/1
- Round 7: 40/1
- Round 8: 55/1
OddsChecker Round Odds for Jake Paul
- Round 3: 70/1
- Round 4: 80/1
- Round 5: 100/1
Round-specific odds across both platforms share one undeniable trend: oddsmakers expect Joshua to put this fight away well before the halfway point.
Total Rounds & Round-Start Props (FanDuel)
- Over 2.5: -118
- Under 2.5: -112
Fight to Start a Specific Round:
- Start Round 3: Yes -155 / No -105
- Start Round 5: Yes +155 / No -240
- Start Round 7: Yes +240 / No -370
FanDuel is essentially asking bettors: How brave do you feel about the fight lasting longer than a movie trailer?
Knockdown Markets (FanDuel)
To be knocked down:
- Paul: -430
- Joshua: +520
Both fighters knocked down: +950
Total Knockdowns:
- 1+: -700
- 2+: +105
- 3+: +500
- 4+: +2200
Jake Paul Knockdowns Landed:
- 1+: +500
- 2+: +1900
- 3+: +7000
Anthony Joshua Knockdowns Landed:
- 1+: -450
- 2+: +145
- 3+: +650
- 4+: +2700
This is where the books stop being subtle. FanDuel’s knockdown board practically screams, "Brace yourself."
What FanDuel and OddsChecker Agree On
Across two continents, dozens of sportsbooks, and hundreds of prop variations, the conclusion is unchanged:
- Joshua is expected to win big, early, and violently.
- Paul’s clearest path is chaos — forcing exchanges, surviving early storms, and hoping for something unexpected.
But as boxing has taught the world countless times, expectations don’t always survive contact with reality.
More must-reads:
- Why Aaron Rodgers reportedly wanted to return to Steelers for another season
- Bo Bichette candidly addresses slow start to tenure with Mets
- The 'No. 2-scorers by NBA champion' quiz
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