Naoya Inoue vs. Murodjon Akhmadaliev: Preview & Betting Tips

At 122-pounds, Inoue looks as dangerous as ever. He has showcased his elite blend of speed, ferocity, and boxing IQ. Inoue will look to set a very fast pace early, forcing Akhmadaliev to fight at a speed he is not comfortable with. His edge in hand speed and power means he can get off first in exchanges, and his body punching could be the key to breaking down the challenger over the course of the fight.

“MJ” is a calculated puncher, known for picking his spots and maintaining excellent defensive awareness. Unlike some of Inoue’s past opponents who crumbled under pressure, Akhmadaliev rarely makes mistakes inside the ring.

However, what makes him so efficient can also be his undoing. His low output often allows busier fighters to control the tempo. Against a relentless operator like Inoue, that could spell trouble if he cannot find ways to disrupt the champion’s rhythm.

The Uzbek’s best chance is to keep the fight at mid-range, where his straight left hand and southpaw angles can cause issues. He must remain disciplined and avoid being drawn into brawls, or else the Japanese star will take over and dominate.

Inoue vs Akhmadaliev: Prediction & Betting Tips

I expect Akhmadaliev to remain competitive in the early rounds, using his southpaw stance and measured approach to frustrate Inoue. But as the fight progresses, the champion’s speed, variety, and power will take over. 

Inoue’s ability to dictate the pace, combined with his high punch volume and fight-ending power, makes a stoppage win the most likely outcome. I believe he is likely to find the breakthrough in the mid-late rounds, delivering yet another emphatic finish to maintain his stranglehold over the division.

I’m willing to take Naoya Inoue to win in rounds 7-12 at odds of 2.25  as I just feel Akhmadaliev’s low output will eventually lead to him being bull rushed against the ropes and Inoue finding his trademark wicked body shot to end the fight.