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Breaking Down UNC’s Risky Three-Guard Lineup Strategy
Mar 21, 2025; Milwaukee, WI, USA; North Carolina Tar Heels guard RJ Davis (4) chases a loose ball during the second half of a first round NCAA men’s tournament game against the Mississippi Rebels at Fiserv Forum. Mandatory Credit: Benny Sieu-Imagn Images Benny Sieu-Imagn Images

North Carolina basketball has always been tied to tradition, but head coach Hubert Davis has shown a willingness to adapt his system to the modern game.

One of the most intriguing possibilities for the Tar Heels this season is a three-guard lineup. The idea has created plenty of discussion because it highlights both the strengths and the potential vulnerabilities of this roster.

The Case for Three Guards

The biggest advantage of a three-guard lineup is speed. With multiple ball-handlers on the court at the same time, UNC can push the pace, play faster in transition, and cut down on turnovers against pressure defenses. Guards like RJ Davis, Elliot Cadeau, and Seth Trimble thrive with the ball in their hands, and playing them together maximizes that skill set.

Spacing is another benefit. Guards typically provide more shooting on the perimeter, which forces defenses to extend further away from the paint. That extra room creates driving lanes and opens space inside for big men to finish around the rim. In a system built on tempo and ball movement, three guards can create a steady flow of offense.

Defensively, three guards can create disruption. Their quickness on the perimeter makes it easier to pressure passing lanes, trap ball-handlers, and force turnovers. If the Tar Heels turn defense into offense, the three-guard system can spark scoring runs that change games in a matter of minutes.

The Risks Involved

Playing three guards also comes with clear challenges. Size is the most obvious. Against taller opponents, the Tar Heels risk being undersized at key positions. That can create mismatches on the glass and in the post, areas where the ACC is traditionally strong.

Rebounding is a serious concern. Guards can be aggressive and hustle to the boards, but they are not built to consistently battle taller forwards and centers. Carolina has always emphasized rebounding as part of its identity, and sacrificing size could undercut possessions on both ends of the floor.

Defensive matchups can also become an issue. A smaller guard trying to defend a 6-foot-7 wing is at a disadvantage, whether the opponent posts up or shoots over the top. In the ACC, where many teams rely on versatile forwards, that weakness can be costly.

A Balancing Act for Hubert Davis

For Hubert Davis, the three-guard look does not need to be a permanent identity. Instead, it can be a situational strategy used to exploit certain matchups. Its success will depend on whether Carolina’s front-court can rebound and protect the rim while the guards handle the perimeter.

The lineup could give UNC an edge against smaller, faster teams and provide a modern wrinkle to a program steeped in tradition. At the same time, it could leave the Tar Heels vulnerable if overused against bigger opponents.

Risk or Revolution?

The answer may fall somewhere in between. The three-guard lineup offers UNC an opportunity to modernize its attack and keep pace with today’s college game. Yet it also challenges the core principles that have long defined Tar Heel basketball.

Whether it becomes a revolutionary step forward or just a temporary experiment, the three-guard lineup will be one of the defining storylines of the season.

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This article first appeared on North Carolina Tar Heels on SI and was syndicated with permission.

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