Arkansas vs Memphis Prediction: Can the Tigers Take a Big Step Towards the College Football Playoff?

Arkansas vs Memphis How To Watch

Saturday, September 20, 2025
Game Time: 12:00 PM ET
TV: ABC
Location: Simmons Bank Liberty Stadium, Memphis, TN
@PeteFiutak

Why Arkansas Will Win

The ground game has been rolling. 

It's everything the program has been working towards under Sam Pittman, with the offensive line in place to pound away, and the backfield that's able to crank out big plays. 

Last year, the Hogs averaged over five yards per carry in just four games - and won all four. They were 5-1 when averaging over 4.2 yards per pop, and the one loss was in double overtime. So far in the first three games, they've averaged 4.9 yards or more in all three games.

The Memphis defense has been wonderful, but it hasn't faced anything like the Hogs will bring on the ground. They're averaging 245 yards per game, are No. 1 in the nation in third down conversions, and ...

Why Memphis Will Win

Again, the Memphis defensive front has held up well.

Dealing with the Arkansas offense is a whole other problem compared to Chattanooga, Georgia State, and Troy, but the line is great, the pass rush strong, and overall, the defense is good enough to come up with a few key third down stops.

Last week, Arkansas dealt with a good passing for the first time in the loss to Ole Miss, giving up way too many midrange to deep shots.

Memphis veteran quarterback Brendan Lewis has been sharp. The former Colorado Buffalo and Nevada Wolf Pack starter is in his sixth year, and he's connecting on everything, running well, and ...

Arkansas Will Grind Out a TOUGH Win

The Tigers will be a tough out.

They'll keep bringing the offensive pressure, the defense will hold up well against the run for long stretches, Lewis will have some big moments in the first half.

But the Hogs will take over with the ground game ripping off yards in chunks as the game goes on. It won't be easy, and it'll come down to the final few minutes, but when the clock needs to be wound down, Arkansas will get the job done.

Arkansas vs Memphis Prediction, Betting Lines

Arkansas 37, Memphis 30
Line: Arkansas -7.5, o/u: 62.5
ATS Confidence out of 5: 2.5
Must See Rating: 3.5
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