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Minnesota vs Virginia Tech Prediction, Pick, Duke’s Mayo Bowl Odds for Friday, Jan. 3

Getty Images. Pictured: Minnesota’s Max Brosmer (left) and Virginia Tech’s Bhayshul Tuten (right).

The Minnesota Golden Gophers (7-5, 5-4 Big Ten) take on the Virginia Tech Hokies (6-6, 4-4 ACC) in the Duke’s Mayo Bowl on Friday, Jan. 3. Kickoff is set for 7:30 p.m. ET on ESPN.

The College Football Playoff quarterfinals have come and gone, but we still have a few bowl games to go. One of those is the 2024 Duke’s Mayo Bowl.

This is seemingly always an entertaining bowl game, and I don’t expect it to play out any differently.

Minnesota enters as a -8.5 favorite with the over/under sitting at 42.5. So, where does the betting value lie, and which side will see its head coach get doused in mayo?

Let’s take a look at my Minnesota vs. Virginia Tech predictions and college football picks for the Duke’s Mayo Bowl on Friday, Jan. 3.

Minnesota vs Virginia Tech Prediction

  • Minnesota vs. Virginia Tech Pick: Florida State -11

My Virginia Tech vs. Minnesota best bet is on the Gophers to cover the spread, with the best line currently available at ESPN Bet, according to our live NCAAF odds page.

Minnesota vs Virginia Tech Odds

Minnesota
Friday, Jan. 3
7:30 p.m. ET
ESPN
Virginia Tech
Minnesota Odds
Spread
Total
Moneyline
-8.5 -110
42.5 -110 / -110
-350
Virginia Tech Odds
Spread
Total
Moneyline
+8.5 -110
42.5 -110 / -110
+275
  • Minnesota vs Virginia Tech Spread: Minnesota -8.5 (-110) · Virginia Tech +8.5 (-110)
  • Minnesota vs Virginia Tech Over/Under: 42.5 Points
  • Minnesota vs Virginia Tech Moneyline: Minnesota -350 · Virginia Tech +275

Minnesota vs Virginia Tech Preview


Minnesota Golden Gophers Betting Preview: Better Than Record?

Minnesota enters its final game of the season at 7-5, but I believe it’s much better than that record suggests.

The Gophers started the season with a heartbreaking loss to North Carolina, lost by three at Michigan and fell by just a single point to CFP semifinalist Penn State.

Additionally, head coach PJ Fleck’s team finished the year 5-2 and took a significant leap once quarterback Max Brosmer gained full comfort in a new offensive system.

Availability-wise, just about everyone who’s healthy will play against Virginia Tech. Starting right tackle Phillip Daniels has signed with Ohio State and backup running back Jordan Nubin entered the portal, but the rest of the roster should be a go.

I believe Minnesota has a physicality edge in this matchup and should be able to win the battle in the trenches on both sides of the ball.

Beyond that, Brosmer has had plenty of success through the air and should have plenty of open receivers against a mediocre Hokies secondary.

The Gopher defense should make its way into the VT backfield and cause some Havoc against a Tech offensive line that ranks 80th nationally in Line Yards.

As long as Minnesota plays a clean game and capitalizes in the red zone, it should control how this game plays out.

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Virginia Tech Hokies Betting Preview: Painful Losses & Depleted Squad

Virginia Tech fans had big expectations entering the 2024 season, but the Hokies did not live up to the hype. A 6-6 record filled with several painful losses resulted in many entering the portal or opting out of this game.

Five of VT’s six losses came by one possession, with the other coming by 10 points. This team had the pieces to have a solid year but couldn’t quite get over the hump.

Some notable starters who will likely not be suiting up for Virginia Tech in this game include left tackle Xavier Chaplin, center Braelin Moore, cornerback Mansoor Delane, safety Mose Phillips and linebacker Sam Brumfield.

Additionally, Tech is expected to be without quarterback Kyron Drones, so it will either be Collin Schlee or Pop Watson at quarterback.

The Hokies sat outside the top 100 in Pass Success, which should be magnified without Drones while going up against a very solid Minnesota secondary.

The Gophers are also plenty strong against the run, so it’s difficult to imagine many paths to offensive success in this game.

On the other side of the ball, VT must try to get pressure on Brosmer and force a turnover or two.

The Hokies’ best chance in this game is to limit the number of possessions and play from out in front.

Minnesota vs Virginia Tech Matchup Analysis

Minnesota Offense vs. Virginia Tech Defense

Offense

Defense

Edge Rush Success 71 64

Line Yards 114 47
Pass Success 27 36
Havoc 62 27
Finishing Drives 29 8
Quality Drives 48 31

Virginia Tech Offense vs. Minnesota Defense

Offense

Defense

Edge Rush Success 68 10

Line Yards 80 27
Pass Success 103 28
Havoc 117 22
Finishing Drives 35 24
Quality Drives 104 24

Pace of Play / Other

PFF Tackling 96 6 PFF Coverage 37 68 Special Teams SP+ 61 35 Middle 8 40 36 Seconds per Play 30.4 (129) 27.2 (74) Rush Rate 49% (102) 59% (38) Data via CollegeFootballData.com, SP+, Pro Football Focus and SportSource Analytics.

Minnesota vs Virginia Tech Pick & Prediction

Ultimately, I expect the Golden Gophers to pull away in this game in the second half. Minnesota had the stronger roster to begin with, and now it also has fewer opt-outs to manage.

Fleck has a pristine track record in bowl games, and I think he’ll have his team plenty fired up to secure another victory.

There are too many concerns with the Hokies on both sides of the ball for me to have much faith in their operation.

With the spread still hovering inside single digits, there’s enough value out there for me to take the Gophers to cover this number.

Row the Boat. Ski-U-Mah. Go Gophs.

Pick: Minnesota -8.5 (Play to 9.5)

Minnesota vs Virginia Tech Start Time, TV Channel, Location, How to Watch

Location: Bank of America Stadium, Charlotte, NC
Date: Friday, Jan. 3
Kickoff Time: 7:30 p.m. ET
TV / Streaming: ESPN

Minnesota takes on Virginia Tech in the Duke’s Mayo Bowl on Friday, Jan. 3 at 7:30 p.m. ET on ESPN.

Minnesota vs Virginia Tech Betting Trends

Minnesota vs Virginia Tech Weather

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