The Ohio State Buckeyes are officially the National Champions of the first ever 12-Team College Football Playoff. Ryan Day and his Buckeyes pulled off the 34-23 victory over the Notre Dame Fighting Irish on Monday in a game that was much more lopsided than the final score suggests. But Ohio State's dominance wasn't exactly surprising. The streaks they extended were.
Now that the Buckeyes have won, that makes it officially 9 of the last 10 college football champions who had preseason odds of 8 to 1 or better to win it all. The lone exception was LSU back in 2019. Joe Burrow and the Tigers had preseason championship odds set at 25 to 1 that year. That's a five-year streak and 90% of recent champions who entered the year as one of the preeminent favorites to win it all.
Ohio State wins the title after having +325 odds entering the season.
— Evan Abrams (@EvanHAbrams) January 21, 2025
9 of the last 10 CFB champs have now had preseason odds of 8-1 or shorter -- 2019 LSU was 25-1. pic.twitter.com/x5mV637RQv
It makes a lot of sense. The most talented rosters still win the championship just about every single year. And we know exactly who the most talented teams are coming into every single season thanks to large sample recruiting service grades across the entirety of college football. Then that talent is verified shortly after the championships won by the NFL Drafts that follow.
Don't think that's true? Check this out.
The team with the most NFL Draft picks have now won the championship six years in a row (as you can see in Senior Bowl Director Jim Nagy's post below).
#NFL .
— Jim Nagy (@JimNagy_SB) January 21, 2025
Sunday talent wins.
2025 Ohio State (trust us)
2024 Michigan 13
2023 Georgia 10
2022 Georgia 15
2021 Alabama 10
2020 LSU 14
It's not official that Ohio State will have the most 2025 NFL Draft picks, but for those following along with the early pre-draft process it's all but a 100% lock to be the case.
Six years in a row. The team with the most NFL talent wins the championship. And in every single case the team who won also had one of the most talented rosters based on high school recruiting rankings as well. Talent wins. Five star wide receivers like Jeremiah Smith making plays in critical moments to seal the deal against man coverage win the day.
So, with that knowledge of both team talent and preseason championship odds having recent predictive value, how many teams have a realistic shot to win next year? BetMGM already has the answer as they released championship odds immediately following the game.
NEXT YEAR'S CFB TITLE ODDS ARE LIVE NOW
— BetMGM (@BetMGM) January 21, 2025
Ohio State is the favorite pic.twitter.com/lOmC77DbDk
According to early betting odds, only Ohio State, Texas, Georgia, and Oregon have better than 8 to 1 odds to win the 2025 College Football Championship. When we mix those betting odds with the fact that all four of those teams enter the offseason with some of the highest team talent composites in the nation (all currently rank Top 10) it looks like there might only be four true contenders for next season.
Yes, Penn State and a few other schools return significant talent that should make a push of their own, but the top four teams already look tough to beat.
Ohio State returns two of the best players in the nation in safety Caleb Downs and wide receiver Jeremiah Smith. Texas kicks off the Arch Manning era at quarterback. Georgia and Oregon return stacked pedigree-flush rosters with emergent quarterbacks set to step up. Odds are one of those four teams will back here celebrating a championship victory this time next year.
We'll be back with more College Football coverage here at A to Z Sports all year long! Follow me (@FF_TravisM) and A to Z Sports (@AtoZSportsNFL) on X for all the latest football news!
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